The Cavaliers beat the odds—a 15.6 percent chance, third-best in the lottery—to land the 2013 first overall pick. But the consensus top pick has questions, and he's not particularly what Cleveland needs. It would make all the sense in the world for the Cavs to trade down from No. 1, something that hasn't been done in two decades.
Dan and Nick Gilbert were ecstatic when their logo emerged from the last envelope, and who can blame them? The option to add Kentucky's Nerlens Noel to a young, talented roster is cause for celebration. But Noel's still recovering from a torn ACL that sidelined him in February, and may make him unavailable to play until Christmas. And more than that, the Cavs are set for the near future with Tristan Thompson in the paint. To build around their nucleus, a smaller center like Noel is a luxury, not a key cog.