Best NFL Player Props for Sunday: Top 10 Picks for Week 17

Most of the playoff spots are accounted for, and teams will be resting certain players, but that does not mean it is a bad week for betting on NFL player props. It just means doing your homework is even more important this week than usual, which we did in coming up with our best NFL player props.

The following are our top ten choices for Sunday’s NFL slate:

Jacoby Brissett, OVER 36.5 Passing Attempts at -115 (bet365)

Brissett finished UNDER this mark last week vs. the Falcons after recording 40+ pass attempts for six weeks in a row. Against a Bengals team with a questionable defense (29th against the pass), Brissett will get back on track and throw OVER 36.5 pass attempts in this game.

Tyler Shough, OVER 220.5 Passing Yards at -110 (bet365)

Shough has thrown for OVER this mark in five of his last six starts, including a 308-yard game last week vs. the Jets. He is out to prove to the front office that he is the QB of the future for the Saints. He will not let Tennessee’s No. 22-ranked pass defense slow him down.

Phillip Rivers, OVER 32.5 Pass Attempts at -104 (DraftKings)

The Colts opened up the playbook last week, and Rivers showed there’s a reason why he was a Hall of Fame semifinalist before returning to football. Factor in Jacksonville having one of the most formidable run defenses in the league, and it looks like Rivers will be throwing early and often this week, too.

Phillip Rivers, OVER 205.5 Passing Yards at -113 (DraftKings)

Okay, so he had small numbers in his first week back, which was to be expected for a guy on the roster for less than a week. But then he blew up last week, throwing for 277 yards. He’ll throw early and often to help open up running lanes for Jonathan Taylor and easily go OVER this mark in the process.

Christian McCaffrey, OVER 66.5 Rushing Yards at -114 (FanDuel)

McCaffrey has rushed for 73+ yards in four of his last five games; the Bears have allowed 131 rushing yards per game. With the division title still on the line for the 49ers, San Francisco will be putting their best foot forward in this game, which means handing off to McCaffrey early and often.

Caleb Williams, OVER 219.5 Passing Yards at -110 (bet365)

Williams passed for 220+ yards in six of his last nine games; in the three where he did not, the opposing team had a top ten pass defense. The 49ers' pass defense has been unimpressive this year and is currently ranked 24th against the pass (229.3 ypg allowed).

Saquon Barkley, UNDER 83.5 Rushing Yards at -114 (FanDuel)

The Eagles have been feeding Barkley the ball the last three weeks (20+ carries), and he’s responded with two 100+ yard games. But the division is wrapped up, and a win would mean nothing. So, I don’t expect them to give Barkley a heavy workload; certainly not enough to go OVER this mark.

Brady Cook, OVER 30.5 Pass Attempts at -108

He has attempted 30, 33, and 35 passes in his three starts. While the Bills are famously bad at stopping the run, the Jets will likely be behind big early in the game, so they will pass early and often, sending him OVER this mark for the third straight game.

Ashton Jeanty, OVER 13.5 Yards for Longest Rush at -110

Jeanty finally had a solid game last week with 188 yards from scrimmage. But I still don’t trust him to produce well over the course of a whole game, even against a poor Giants defense. I do, however, see him breaking off a solid run or two for at least 13.5 yards.

Rico Dowdle, UNDER 46.5 Rushing Yards at -114

Earlier in the season, Dowdle became the featured back after a few solid performances, but things have gone downhill in recent weeks for him. In the last few weeks, he didn’t even play 60% of the Carolina offensive snaps.

But even if he does get a heavy workload, the Seahawks defense will keep him in check. Seattle has the No. 3-ranked run defense in the league. They will not let Dowdle do much.