New CIRO Rules For Canada Prohibit Sports and Entertainment Prediction Markets

Alan Campbell
Last Updated on Fri 23rd October, 10:50 2026
Key Points
  • CIRO has explicitly banned member firms from offering, displaying, or promoting sports and entertainment event contracts
  • New rules to force trading apps to completely hide illegal prediction markets
  • Regulatory shift aims to curb potential market gamification
online sports betting on mobile

Photo Credit: Andrew Angelov

The Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (CIRO) has updated its terms for any members that trade, offer, or facilitate trading in event contracts to explicitly ban entertainment and sports-related markets.

Under the renovated guidelines, its dealer members are now also prohibited from displaying or promoting non-permitted event contracts and must obtain formal prior authorization in advance of offering approved environmental and financial contracts.

Important watchdog for brokerage

CIRO is the self-regulating body for all Canadian investment and mutual fund dealers as well as debt and equity marketplace traders established in 2023 via the merger of the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) and the Mutual Fund Dealers Association of Canada (MFDA). The organization handles advisor registration, monitors exchanges, sets ethics and financial rules, manages complaints, investigates breaches and institutes penalties for its collection of over 240 member firms.

The Toronto-headquartered body revealed the update follows the massive global growth in decentralized prediction platforms such as Polymarket where billions of dollars are wagered on everything from political elections to pop culture. CIRO is looking to protect Canadian brokers by preventing the gamification of financial markets via a complete ban on highly speculative event contracts.

Rules to help moderate inconsistencies

Under the refreshed standards, new uniform and streamlined compensation options have moreover been implemented, which are to allow incorporated investment advisors to reduce structural discrepancies across dealer channels. This comes as the organization continues to improve cybersecurity following a significant breach fully disclosed in January that impacted some 750,000 investor and registrant records.

The membership base at CIRO spans the entire spectrum of Canadian financial services and encompasses institutional powerhouses like TD Securities and Scotia Capital alongside the retail banking networks of CIBC and Scotiabank. The regulator’s oversight furthermore extends to independent wealth management firms Canaccord Genuity and Aligned Capital Partners as well as to self-directed online brokerages such as BMO InvestorLine and TD Waterhouse.

Unambiguous proscription follows casino concerns

CIRO stated it has grown increasingly concerned that highly speculative event contracts treat financial markets like a casino, exposing retail investors to extreme volatility without the security of traditional underlying assets. While CIRO’s previous rules only implicitly banned sports and entertainment prediction markets by strictly limiting permitted event contracts to economic, financial, or environmental forecasts, this updated guidance makes this prohibition explicit.

“CIRO does not consider it appropriate to facilitate or approve an application by its investment dealer members to trade event contracts based on sports and entertainment events or outcomes,” said the watchdog. “In this respect, CIRO has specifically enumerated such contracts as prohibited in the updated terms and conditions.”

Definitive definition included in the update

In terms of what now constitutes an event contract, CIRO stipulated such a category encompasses ‘any product commonly described as an event contract, prediction contract, prediction market contract, or forecast contract’. The regulator also asserted such a change is intended to ensure its terms and conditions are based on the functional nature of a product rather than the label or terminology utilized in a description.

Because its members are now strictly forbidden from offering or advertising sports and entertainment contracts, online platforms like Wealthsimple cannot simply disable trading functionality while keeping the listings visible. Instead, CIRO’s revised guidelines mandate that these platforms completely refrain from displaying non-permitted event contracts to clients.

Several other firms have recently applied to offer event contracts under CIRO’s regulatory framework, but the regulator has warned additional restrictions or guidance may be imposed in the future. In the meantime, American prediction giants like Polymarket remain unlicensed to offer their services anywhere in Canada.

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