win-probability - Sports News, Headlines & Highlights

Yes, The Reversed Call In Lions-Cowboys Really Was Rd. 1's Biggest Play  A proper inventory of what did and didn't go in Detroit's favor in Sunday's playoff game against the Cowboys would include, at minimum, the NFL ruling that "first-time offender" Ndamukong Suh was eligible to suit up; a hot start followed by scoring just six points over the final three quarters (fo...

Sure, <i>Now</i> The Jets Make The Biggest Plays Of The Week After the Jets let Miami's Lamar Miller dash for a 97-yard touchdown run at the beginning of the third quarter, which was the longest play from scrimmage in Dolphins history, they trailed by 10 points, their WPA sat at 20 percent, and it appeared Rex Ryan would lose his last game, which seemed f...

Miami Lost And Then Won The Game On Two Huge Special-Teams PlaysWith about five minutes remaining in a tied contest against Minnesota, Miami received a kickoff with the game seemingly tilted in their favor with Win Probability at 61 percent and an opportunity to run clock and take a late go-ahead lead. But rookie wideout Jarvis Landry slipped on the return, got ...

The Biggest Two-Yard Run Of Week 14

Glancing briefly at box scores will tell you the Colts beat the Browns and Andrew Luck threw a go-ahead touchdown with 32 seconds remaining. But the box score won't tell you the leverage of the plays leading up to the touchdown, or that Boom Herron's two-yard rush immediately preceding the touchdo...

Andy Dalton Dug His Team A Hole With An Early Interception

Whenever we round up the most highly leveraged plays every week using Brian Burke's WPA from Advanced Football Analytics, the list is usually littered with late-game turnovers and touchdowns. So it's interesting that Andy Dalton getting picked off by Tampa Bay's Johnthan Banks on the very first pl...

The Bucs Found A Really Impressive Way To Blow The Game This Week

We normally go over the most highly leveraged plays, or some collection of them, when we round up Brian Burke's WPA from Advanced Football Analytics every week. The list is almost always bottom-heavy, comprising plays that just happened to occur in the fourth quarter, or long touchdowns, like Lata...

Notre Dame Dicked Themselves On Some Late 4th Quarter Plays

Down three with just a few minutes remaining in the game, Notre Dame was pushing the ball deep into Louisville territory and had a chance to take a late lead with a go-ahead touchdown. Facing second and goal from the nine yard line, it appeared the Irish would at the very least tie the game and se...

Carolina Won And Then Lost The Game On Two Huge 4th Quarter Plays

Late in the fourth quarter against the Falcons, Cam Newton and the Panthers were driving, down two, when Newton hit his rookie wideout Kelvin Benjamin for a 17-yard gain, taking Carolina down to the Atlanta 32, within field goal range. It represented the biggest gain in WPA for the week—28 percentag...