We've reviewed the best prediction market sites in the US for 2026, and provide an expert overview of each.
These prediction market platforms let you trade sports event contracts across the NFL, NBA, NCAA, NHL, and MLB.
You can also buy contracts for predicting outcomes in politics, culture, and economics.
At online prediction market hubs, each possible sports outcome becomes a Yes/No contract.
You can buy shares on any, and the price of each contract shows the market’s view on its probability.
Each event contract costs between $0.01 and $0.99.
Let’s say you come across a Yes contract that costs $0.70. In that case, the market believes there’s about a 70% chance that the outcome will happen.
If you buy the share, and the result comes to pass, the contract settles at $1. However, if the outcome is contrary to your prediction, it’s $0.
Here’s how that applies to a market about who will win the AFC West in the 2027 NFL season.
Note that after buying contracts, you don’t always have to wait for the event to settle. The price will fluctuate based on supply and demand, like any normal market.
Therefore, if the contract rises in price, you can sell early for some gains. Similarly, if it looks like the contract is dropping in price, you can sell to minimize any potential loss.
We can give an example with a Packers vs Lions NFL game from one of our top prediction market sites.
The hub listed the Packers at $0.44 and the Lions at $0.57 for the moneyline prediction market.
If you predict the Packers to win, you buy the event contracts at $0.44. Otherwise, you go for the Lions at $0.57.
During the review, we bought 228 contracts for the Packers to win at $100.32. Since each contract settles at $1, the potential return was $127.68.
If we had picked the same number of contracts on the Lions, it would cost $129.96 for a $98.04 potential win.
Besides traditional sports like football, the best prediction market sites also list events from politics, entertainment, and other niches.
As such, our top picks can serve as the best sites for political predictions if you’re interested in polls and such.
On prediction market sites, the prices change dynamically based on supply and demand, just like in financial markets.
Each featured Yes or No contract has a price that is between $0.01 and $0.99, which reflects the market’s current estimation of how likely an event is to happen.
When more traders buy a certain contract, the price goes up. In contrast, when more people sell, the price goes down.
These prices also change as new information enters the market, such as news, injuries, economic data, polling updates, currency changes, even tweets.
Over time, the price moves toward either $1 or $0, depending on whether the event ends up happening or not.
Updated every Monday with trending topics from the world of prediction markets.
The US midterm elections may be over, but prediction markets are still making headlines. Record trading volumes have put Kalshi and Polymarket in the spotlight, while fresh legal challenges, changes to state availability and new regulatory approvals are keeping the industry busy this November.
Several prediction market sites are active in the United States. We took the time to test multiple brands, and from the results, these are the top 10 to join right now:
If you sign up with Polymarket, you can trade outcomes in 13 sports.
The prediction market site lists football, basketball, hockey, baseball, and tennis, which we outlined in further detail in our Polymarket review.
Other top sports available include soccer, cricket, esports, UFC, Formula 1, and boxing.
We commend Polymarket for featuring standard prediction markets like you might find at traditional sportsbooks.
In the NBA, for example, you’ll see prediction markets for moneyline, spread, totals, and half results. For each option, the online hub displays an order book, graph, and rules, making it easy to understand market movements.
During our Polymarket review, we also tried prediction markets in other niches like politics, finance, and the economy. They all follow the same Yes/No contract buying pattern, so they’re simple to grasp.
Kalshi is a reliable prediction market site for live events, and this extends to sports prediction markets.
During our Kalshi review, we came across nine sports, including football, basketball, hockey, and baseball. Soccer, golf, chess, esports, and motorsports are also available.
You can trade on live contracts as the sports events are ongoing. We tried the option, and it was relatively seamless to handle.
All you have to do is select Yes/No contracts in real-time. The prices are more volatile, and Kalshi makes them easy to track by showing green and red arrows for when they rise or fall.
We observed that Kalshi offers a percentage interest when you buy live contracts, which can add to your potential returns.
That said, keep in mind that the option for selling won’t be available for specific events so you have to wait until the events settle.
Plus500 is a recent addition to the prediction markets scene, launching its prediction market platform in February 2026. It then added sports prediction markets to its arsenal at the end of June.
Plus500 is well-known as an online trading platform, so you can make predictions on markets like Sports, Politics, Entertainment, and more, knowing you’re using a trustworthy and secure site. It has 33+ million registered users and is partnered with the likes of the Chicago Bulls.
The site has a solid trading bonus for newcomers of $20 once you trade $10. Moreover, Plus500 prediction markets has one of the more seamless and well-designed sites and apps, making it easy and simple to make Yes/No forecasts with a few clicks.
Crypto.com prediction markets is a well-established prediction market site platform offering prediction markets across a wide range of categories, including cryptocurrency, sports, politics, and economics.
Instead of traditional betting, the platform uses event contracts where you can make Yes/No predictions on real-world outcomes.
During our review, we found that the process is straightforward: you can select an event, choose a position, and track contract prices that reflect market sentiment.
These prices fluctuate based on perceived probability, making it easy to gauge how likely an outcome is in real time. The platform also provides charts, alerts, and market data to support decision-making.
Crypto.com supports a broad range of prediction markets beyond crypto, including major sports leagues, political events, and financial indicators.
Sports contracts cover leagues like the NFL, NBA, MLB, and international competitions, with outcomes settled automatically once events conclude.
Sponsored by Crypto.com – Not investment advice. Trading prediction markets and crypto involves risk, including potential loss of your stake. Consider your risk tolerance before participating. Crypto.com connects U.S. users to CDNA (regulated by CFTC) for derivatives trading. CDNA membership required. Trading may not be suitable for all—you could lose your entire investment plus fees. Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. This is not a solicitation or recommendation to trade.
Underdog has been steadily expanding its presence in the sports prediction and fantasy space, and it’s starting to feel more like a hybrid sportsbook-style experience.
The platform mainly focuses on pick’em-style sports predictions across popular leagues such as NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL, along with select college sports.
The recently launched Underdog Predict provides an entryway into prediction markets on Politics, Economy, Crypto, and more.
During our testing, the interface felt straightforward, especially for users familiar with fantasy sports apps. You select player or game outcomes and build entries based on projections, with clear win/loss tracking as events progress.
We also noticed during our Underdog Predict review that the platform continues to expand its product offerings and promotions, which suggests ongoing growth in its prediction-style ecosystem.
While it doesn’t yet match larger prediction markets in depth, it’s a solid and improving option for sports-focused users.
Trading derivatives involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. For more information visit: https://www.nadex.com/rules and https://underdogfantasy.com/rules.
Novig is another sports-focused prediction market platform, so if you’re not interested in contracts on politics, entertainment, or tech and prefer to keep things simple, it’s a worthwhile site to explore.
Either on Novig’s stellar app or desktop platform, you can make predictions on major US leagues like the NFL, NBA, or MLB. To keep you in the loop, a schedule of the upcoming games from all available sports scrolls across the top of the page, so you never miss out on a prediction opportunity.
But Novig doesn’t just focus on the main four US sports. During our Novig review, we also came across soccer, golf, tennis, and college sports to dive into. Novig only launched as a prediction market platform in August 2026, so it’s a site with a lot of potential to grow its sports selection even further.
ProphetX is a prediction market site that is ideal for sports bettors who are looking to make the leap over from traditional platforms.
While some prediction markets try and juggle as many prediction market categories as possible, ProphetX smartly focuses almost entirely on sports. There is a small politics section for major US election events, but otherwise, it’s prediction markets on top sporting events.
In our ProphetX review, we found markets on the NFL, MLB, NBA, NHL, soccer, tennis, the UFC, and more. This includes extensive futures offerings, too. The site is intuitive to anyone who’s used a sportsbook before, as it takes a lot of design inspiration, likely to make traditional sports bettors comfortable.
Prophet X also offers up a generous bonus of $75 once you trade $50, with the welcome promo given out in three $25 installments.
Gemini entered the prediction market space in December 2025, and it’s a user-friendly platform that covers nine different popular prediction markets.
Gemini’s range of Yes/No contract options includes Sports, Culture, Tech, Weather, Crypto, among others.
You can make easy deposits at Gemini using fiat and crypto payment methods, such as cards, PayPal, and Bitcoin.
As we noted in our Gemini Predictions review, the platform boasts an impressively functional app that’s available to both iOS and Android users. Gemini also has a strong range of sports to make predictions about, with 11 in total. This includes football, basketball, and soccer.
It’s no surprise that DraftKings Predictions is one of the go-to places for prediction markets, considering the brand’s success with sports betting and DFS. For players looking for a comfortable and familiar jumping-off point into prediction markets, DraftKings Predictions is an excellent option.
If you’re already a DraftKings customer and in an eligible state, you’ll find the “Predictions” tab already in your app’s homepage. If you want a more focused experience, DraftKings Predictions also has a dedicated, separate app. Because of the brand’s long-standing experience in sports betting, both the desktop and app are among the most intuitive to use and fast.
As we highlighted in our DraftKings Predictions review, the market types available will greatly depend on your location. If you’re in one of the 18 states with full access, you’ll find markets on sports, politics, elections, crypto, culture, climate, financials, and economics.
Of course, sports is the focus at DraftKings Predictions, with eight available, including football, soccer, and basketball. Top leagues, like the NFL, have games with hundreds of markets. Players can also pick multiple trades and form combo predictions at DraftKings Predictions.
FanDuel Predict is a prediction market site that operates primarily as an extension of the broader FanDuel sportsbook platform.
It offers prediction-style contests with Yes/No contracts about upcoming games, player stats, or league events for a chance to win prizes. In addition to Sports, FanDuel Predict also offers prediction markets on Finance, Celebrities, and Politics.
In testing, the experience felt polished and tightly integrated into the FanDuel app, with prediction games often tied to major leagues like the NFL, NBA, and MLB.
Be aware, though. FanDuel Predict doesn’t offer sports prediction markets in states where sports betting has already been legalized.
Now you’re up to date with our top 10 recommended prediction markets, it’s time to get into the details about some key factors, such as where each is available within the US and how prediction markets handle fees.
| Prediction Market Site | Trading Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Available States | Funding Currency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 0.06 × number of contracts × contract price × (1 – contract price) | None | 49 states (excludes NV). Various restrictions include MA, MI, and WA. | USD or Crypto |
| Kalshi | 0.07 × number of contracts × contract price × (1 – contract price) | None | 49 states + DC (excludes Nevada). Various restrictions exist in OH, TN, MI, MA, and WA. | USD or Crypto |
| Plus500 | $0.02 per contract | 1.75% up to $150, 1st withdrawal of month waived | All 50 states + DC | USD |
| Crypto.com | 0.07 × number of contracts × contract price × (1 – contract price) | None for bank transfer, varied for crypto | 49 states (excludes NY). Sports restricted in AZ, GA, IA, IL, IN, LA, ME, MI, MT, OH, PA, TN, VA. | USD or Crypto |
| Underdog | $0.02 per contract | None | 38 states + DC. Unavailable in AZ, CO, KY, MA, MD, MI, MS, NJ, NV, OH, PA, TN. | USD |
| Novig | No fees on pre-game contracts | None | 47 states (excludes AZ, MI, and NV). | USD |
| ProphetX | 2% on net gains per market | None | 49 states + DC (excludes NV) | USD |
| Gemini | 0.0175 for makers contracts, 0.07 for takers | None | All states + DC | USD |
| DraftKings Predictions | $0.01 per contract | None | 48 states + DC, Puerto Rico. (Sports restricted in NV, MA, and MI). | USD |
| FanDuel Predict | Up to two cents per dollar of potential payout | None | All 50 states (sports markets restricted in 32). | USD |
As you can see, the most popular prediction markets – Polymarket and Kalshi – don’t charge simple flat commission fees. Instead, they use a formula to calculate your fees, based on the number of fees and the contract price, and rounded up to the nearest cent.
This formula can seem intimidating, especially if math isn’t your strong suit. But it’s actually fairly simple.
Here’s an example to help you, using Kalshi’s formula of M x 0.07 x C x P x (1-P).
So, if we’re buying 100 contracts at a price of $0.65, our fee formula is 1 x 0.07 x 100 x 0.65 x (1 – 0.65). That gives us a fee of $1.5926, rounded up to $1.60.
The prediction market landscape is ever-evolving from a regulatory perspective. While prediction markets are available under federal law and overseen by the CFTC, states are continuously attempting to bring prediction markets under their own jurisdiction.
With seemingly weekly changes and ongoing court battles, it can be hard to keep track of the latest availability for the top prediction markets. Below, we’ve laid out the current status across the 50 US states for each of our recommended platforms.
Polymarket re-entered the US market in 2025 after withdrawing following a 2022 CFTC enforcement action. The platform is available across the entire US, except Nevada, which blocked the platform from operating in the state in early June 2026.
While Polymarket is technically available in 49 states and Washington, D.C., there are some caveats.
Many states are challenging Polymarket and other prediction markets. For example, in early August, a federal judge ruled that Utah can enforce its anti-gambling laws on prediction market platforms, though it has yet to do so.
Sports markets are among the most contested areas of prediction markets. Tennessee, Connecticut, and Massachusetts are among the states that have legally challenged Polymarket’s right to offer sports contracts.
Kalshi is available in 49 US states and DC, with the notable exception of Nevada. However, both Massachusetts and Michigan have moved to restrict sports prediction market trading locally. In Ohio and Tennessee, a 6th Circuit Court of Appeals ruling in September 2026 also determined that state gambling laws could be applied to Kalshi’s sports prediction markets.
In Washington, most operations were ceased in August 2026, but you can still trade commodities, climate, economics, and finance markets here.
In Nevada, Kalshi has been unavailable since August 12 after the platform agreed to enforce geofencing to block residents within the state amid an ongoing legal battle. Nevada says that Kalshi should come under the state’s gaming laws and licensing, while Kalshi has argued that its contracts-based system falls under the CFTC only.
Sports markets have also been geoblocked in land-based casinos that are operated by three California tribes since mid-September, as part of wider, active litigation in California. Kalshi is also subject to active legal challenges in New York, Minnesota, Maryland, Texas, California, and Utah.
Plus500, widely known as an online trading platform, has branched out into prediction markets with a partnership with Kalshi. Plus500’s prediction markets hub is available in all 50 states and Washington, D.C., though it is facing legal pushback about its status in several states.
Most recently on October 2nd, Plus500 and nine other companies were challenged by Ohio’s governor and state gaming commission, receiving cease-and-desist orders regarding sports contracts. Plus500 remains live in the state though at the time of writing.
ProphetX is a sports-focused prediction market platform that is only prohibited in Nevada at the time of writing, meaning it’s available to residents of the other 49 states and DC.
The site went live in mid-2026, when Nevada was the lone blocked state. However, Connecticut sent nine cease-and-desist letters in September 2026, including one to ProphetX. State officials have said ProphetX is among three platforms that initially responded by deciding to leave Connecticut. However, the brand has continued to negotiate with lawmakers in the state and is currently available to traders.
Crypto.com’s prediction market offerings can be found in 49 states and DC, with the exception of New York.
However, some states are restricted, not allowing sports-based contracts. So, if you’re in Arizona, Michigan, Maryland, Massachusetts, Illinois, New Jersey, Nevada, and Ohio, you’ll have to look elsewhere to make sports predictions.
Another state, Connecticut, is looking to join that list, adding Crypto.com to a nine-strong list of prediction markets that were sent cease-and-desist orders in September. However, as of now, Crypto.com is still offering sports event contracts in the state.
Underdog Predict previously ran a prediction markets platform in partnership with Crypto.com, but launched its own in-house exchange in June 2026. The platform is currently available in 38 US states, as well as DC.
The states that are currently blocked include AZ, CO, KY, MA, MD, MI, MS, NJ, NV, OH, PA, and TN.
Like every prediction market platform, Underdog Predict is part of a host of ongoing legal fights. In early October, it was among 10 recipients of a cease-and-desist order from the Ohio Casino Control Commission due to offering sports contracts. It’s currently restricted in this state.
Gemini Predictions launched in December 2025, and as of writing, it’s available in all states apart from Connecticut.
Like ProphetX, it was one of the three prediction markets to pull out of the state in early October after Connecticut’s governors sent nine companies cease-and-desist letters. Gemini was also recently challenged in Ohio, which also sent cease-and-desist notices to the platform, as well as 9 other prediction market sites.
Novig is a newcomer to the prediction markets space, switching from a sweepstakes site to a regulated exchange under the CFTC in August.
Unlike Kalshi and Polymarket, though, Novig is a sports-only prediction market. As such, it’s available in 47 states and DC. It’s unavailable in Arizona, Nevada, and Michigan. All three states have contested sports contracts at prediction markets, leading Novig to geofence the three states from launch.
A week after its launch in early August, Novig sued four states to protect its product from state enforcement. The four states – Massachusetts, New Mexico, Washington, and New York – have been in the midst of legal challenges to prediction markets,
The prediction market industry is still in its relative infancy, but it’s growing fast, with major updates to the regulatory landscape coming all the time.
Here, you can catch up with all the latest prediction market legal news from our team of industry experts. Our team publish daily updates so you’re always up to date on the latest developments.
After months of hand-wringing and more than a billion dollars in prediction market trades, the 2026 midterms have finally concluded. …
We reviewed the best prediction market sites on our top list following strict quality and safety criteria.
You can learn about the factors and what we check for below:
Buying and selling event contracts works just like trading commodities and virtual assets. In the US, you can only engage in such activity with a legal exchange.
Therefore, we begin our rating process by confirming that the prediction market sites are duly regulated.
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is central to this factor.
We only recommend brands that are registered with and operate under the commission’s rules.
As such, every real-money prediction market site in our top 10 operates through a CFTC-registered exchange.
However, we don’t overlook state laws. Even with federal CFTC approval, your local regulations will determine whether you can trade the event contracts or not.
Sports are a significant draw for most prediction market traders in the US. Recognizing this, we prioritize sites that offer event contracts on core sports like football, basketball, baseball, and hockey. The NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL must be present on an ideal prediction market hub.
For each sport, we look at the supported markets. We don’t expect to see a long list of options since the sites are not traditional sportsbooks. Nevertheless, basics like winner markets, spreads, totals, and futures should be present.
Besides sports, top brands also provide markets in politics, culture, economy, entertainment, and more.
We analyze these categories to confirm if there are sufficient options for those who might be interested.
For instance, when checking the best sites for predictions on the economy, we expect to see inflation trends, unemployment, and other financial indicators.
Are there enough traders for smooth buying and selling? That’s our interest when reviewing liquidity on prediction market sites, and here’s why it matters:
| Liquidity level | What it means |
|---|---|
| High | Many traders have lots of active contracts, so the prices are relatively stable |
| Low | Few traders and thin contract orders, leading to massive price jumps |
Without question, prediction market hubs with high liquidity are the best to use. That way, you can enter or exit a position at a fair price.
If liquidity is low, a few buys can take the contract cost closer to $0.99, so there’s less gain on a $1 return.
Likewise, a couple of sell orders can significantly reduce the price, making it difficult to exit when you want.
Some prediction market brands make money by charging transaction fees on trades. However, others advertise zero fees. So you may wonder how they make revenue. Let us explain.
Well, just like odds at regular sportsbooks, there’s a built-in margin on the event contracts. We analyze the figures and recommend sites that cut less than $0.03 for most events.
Let’s illustrate with a college football game between Bowling Green and UMass, which we found on Kalshi. The moneyline event contract cost $0.85 for Bowling Green and $0.16 for UMass. Combined, that’s $1.01.
Since each event contract returns $1 if correct, the additional $0.01 is the margin and the site’s gain.
There’s also the spread, which is the difference between the buy and sell price. For instance, the buy price might be $0.85, while the sell price is $0.83 at a particular period.
Hence, the spread is $0.02 per contract.
Safety matters at online prediction market hubs because you’re dealing with real money. Also, you share sensitive personal information that needs to be protected.
In our reviews, these are the main security features we check for:
| Feature | Why it’s important |
|---|---|
| SSL encryption | Protects your personal and financial data during transfers |
| Two-factor authentication (2FA) | Adds an extra login security step besides your password |
| Know Your Customer (KYC) verification | Verifies your identity to prevent fraud and money laundering |
| Audit trails | Tracks trades and returns to maintain integrity |
Our reviews touch on the currencies you can deposit and use for buying and selling event contracts. We emphasize this factor since prediction market sites often allow trading with specific currencies.
For instance, Polymarket on our list exclusively uses USDC for trading. You can fund your account using other methods, but you have to convert to the stablecoin before buying event contracts.
Meanwhile, Kalshi, Crypto.com, and Robinhood work with USD directly.
Sites that support many deposit channels, including fiat and crypto methods, are ideal.
That way, you can pick a channel that works best for you. Regarding the trading currency, it’s more about your personal preference.
Prediction market hubs are not as widespread as traditional online sportsbooks in the US. The concept is relatively new, so most newcomers require some time to learn how the event contracts work.
Considering this fact, we don’t skip testing the customer service system during our reviews.
We expect quality prediction market brands to have multiple support channels, including live chat, email, and phone.
Also, the team should be active 24/7 to assist traders at any time.
Importantly, we look out for educational resources, including tutorials, FAQs, and guides.
They can help new traders avoid mistakes by explaining how to buy, sell, and settle event contracts safely.
Finally, we rate the best prediction market sites by testing their experience on desktop and mobile. On both mediums, you should be able to browse, make trades, and track your positions without hassle.
This criterion is crucial since the markets can move quickly, especially for sports events.
On desktop interfaces, we check for live prices and charts that let you compare contracts and spreads at a glance. For mobile, a dedicated app is non-negotiable.
The best prediction market brands must have one for iOS and Android with a responsive design on any screen size.
Prediction markets aren’t limited to sports only, and while many users first encounter them through NFL or NBA contracts, modern prediction market platforms now cover a wide range of real-world outcomes across different categories.
Sports prediction markets are the most popular point of entry for most people.
These sites include contracts on outcomes like moneyline winners, point spreads, totals, and season futures across leagues such as the NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL.
The prices reflect the market’s implied probability of each outcome, so you will find that the “odds” do not differ much from the typical spreads you will find at sportsbooks.
The top political prediction market sites let users trade on election results, policy decisions, and geopolitical events.
Examples include large events like presidential elections and party control outcomes, and will almost certainly cover hallmark moments like referendums, key legalizations, and more.
These markets often react very fast to polling data and news events happening in the moment.
Economy markets focus on different economic indicators and various financial outcomes such as interest rates, inflation, unemployment figures, or asset price breakpoints.
Entertainment markets at prediction market platforms cover pop culture events such as award show winners and box office performance.
These markets tend to be more sentiment-driven and they are prone to change quickly based on public opinion.
Technology markets at prediction sites are a broad category that can encompass anything from “Will the US confirm that aliens exist” to contracts on various AI topics, such as “Best AI at the end of the year.” AI is one of the most trending prediction market options, but on sites like Kalshi, other tech categories include education, energy, space, and medicine.
Many platforms also offer prediction markets tied to cryptocurrency prices, blockchain events, and digital asset milestones.
These markets include whether a coin will reach a certain price or if a specific protocol upgrade will occur, such as “Will Bitcoin reach $300K by 2030” and others.
Broader markets cover general real-world outcomes that can include almost anything, such as weather market events, global incidents, whether Trump will tweet something, whether Elon Musk will tweet something, whether Aliens will visit Earth, and many more things to be explored.
It’s certainly easy to see why these sites can be entertaining.
These prediction market sites haven’t made our top 10 list just yet, but they’re still worth a mention, and are either just launched or currently in the gradual rollout phase of their prediction market product in the US.
Fanatics Markets has been expanding beyond merchandise and sportsbook offerings into prediction-style products, though its “Predict” experience is still relatively limited compared to dedicated platforms after only launching in December 2025.
The site offers event contracts on sports, of course, but also crypto, politics, culture, and economy. There are 13 sports you can predict on at Fanatics Markets, from major ones like football and basketball to niche ones like esports and chess. Trading volume can be an issue at Fanatics Markets, even for things like NFL games, as the platform continues to try and establish a foothold among prediction market sites.
The interface mirrors traditional sportsbook design, making it easy to navigate for existing users of the Fanatics ecosystem. It’s clean, fast, and we especially rated its app as one of the most seamless to use.
If you join Meta Arena, you can make forecasts on future events ranging from sports and politics to culture and climate. The only difference compared to other prediction markets is that you cannot back your predictions using real money.
Instead, Meta Arena will have a social focus with a video game points system to make it more competitive.
ADI Predictstreet isn’t currently available for US users. It was the official sponsor of the 2026 World Cup and partnered with Fanatics Markets to give US players access to its markets during the event.
With the World Cup over, ADI Predictsteer has teamed up with Kalshi. The platform might be available on its own in the future, but for now, if you’re in the US and head to the site, it will direct you instead to Kalshi’s site.
[/mini-review]
Interactive Brokers doesn’t have any sports predictions, but that didn’t bother me as they have a huge variety of political and economic markets to make up for it!
The site feels and looks professional, so it makes your experience much better, and you get to enjoy a superb trade volume, which helps with your trade contract liquidity.
Sleeper Markets is an early-stage prediction-style feature from Sleeper, which is primarily known as a fantasy sports platform.
This one appears to be extending Sleeper’s existing pick-based ecosystem into more diverse prediction formats.
Currently, it is not a fully developed prediction exchange and it remains limited in scope and availability.
MooMoo offers prediction-style event contracts within its retail trading platform, expanding its brokerage services into event-based markets.
The feature is designed around simple Yes/No outcomes tied to real-world events.
The product is still a work in progress and it operates nested within a broader investing app instead of a standalone prediction exchange.
ROLR is a new prediction market site that is currently a free-to-trade platform. Instead of using real money, you use ROLR credits to make yes-or-no forecasts. Successful calls earn you more credits and bump you up the leaderboard.
It’s a great site to test your prediction skills, with sports, entertainment, and political markets all available. A real-money version of ROLR is coming soon, but a definitive date isn’t yet available.
Webull provides prediction market-style event contracts within its brokerage platform, letting you predict real-world outcomes through simple contract structures.
The feature is positioned as an extension of Webull’s investing app and is still expanding in availability, so we expect to see more options in the near future.
New prediction market sites are popping up seemingly every week. It can be tricky to keep track, so we’ve done the hard work for you. Here is a list of prediction markets in the US.
Exploring prediction market platforms, you may find some overlap between these types of platforms, so it’s best to clear the air and explain the differences to you.
| Feature | Prediction Markets | Sportsbooks | Fantasy Sports |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Core Model | Lets you trade event outcomes via Yes/No contracts | Can place fixed-odds bets against the house | Select player projections or build lineups |
| Pricing System Differences | Features probability-based pricing | Features odds-based pricing | Projection-based scoring thresholds |
| Settlement Style | Settles at $1 if correct, $0 if incorrect | The payout determined by odds during bet placement | Based on player/stat performance vs projections |
| Market Structure | Works with user-to-user trading | You vs the bookmaker | You vs contest pools or scoring systems |
| Early Exit (Cashout) | You can often sell positions before settling | Sometimes is available via cash-out features | There’s no secondary market for positions |
| Regulation (US) | Some platforms operate under CFTC-regulated event contracts | State-level gambling licenses | DFS / skill-based regulations (they vary by state) |
We’re sure you’ll want the best results while trading event contracts at prediction market hubs. On that note, these are five expert tips to assist you:
Before anything else, take time to study the event and contract type you want to trade. Let’s say you’re interested in sports like football and basketball.
In that case, you’ll be dealing with predictions for moneyline, spreads, totals, and futures contracts. Each one behaves differently.
Moneyline event contracts will typically see more liquidity since it’s the most popular prediction option. Meanwhile, futures event contracts take longer to settle, so prices can significantly change by the day.
You can better understand how things work by practicing, so start small. Rather than buy 100 event contracts on an outcome, you can stick to just five for a start. Then, watch the trends to see how the market adjusts until the contracts settle.
Prediction market sites may not be standard sportsbooks, but you’re still making speculations. Outcomes depend on chance, so don’t trade with sentiment. Instead, properly research each possible result, and one helpful approach is to follow the news and trends.
For instance, when trading NBA markets, you can check recent news for team form, playing injuries, or coaching changes. In politics, attention should be on polling updates, debate performances, and policy announcements. These factors can affect the event contract prices.
You can compare your analyses with those at top sports prediction sites to see if they vary. If it’s too far off, consider reanalyzing or skipping the event altogether to be on the safe side.
We’ve mentioned how the best prediction market sites keep their margins and spreads low, often under $0.03.
Such an amount holds no weight when dealing with a few event contracts. However, for bigger trades, it can add up to a substantial figure.
Consider an event contract with a $0.02 spread. If you purchase 100 contracts and decide to sell, the spread is just $2. Meanwhile, going for 1,000 event contracts takes the cost to $20.
Therefore, always watch the spreads to avoid overpaying, especially in less liquid markets.
Like any speculation, you have to manage your bankroll at prediction market sites. We advise following the classic strategy, which is to have a budget. Decide on an amount you’re comfortable with, and share it across your trades.
Suppose you have $200 for trading. In that case, you can stick to $5 or $10 per event contract. That way, you don’t throw everything into one trade. It helps that the prices don’t exceed $0.99, so a $10 budget can get you 10 event contracts on one market at least.
Last but not least, you don’t have to hold contracts until the event ends. You may be familiar with the cash-out feature at regular sportsbook sites that lets you settle bets early.
Selling your contracts before the event is over can be profitable as well.
If you buy early, consider the sell option if the price appreciates and score some gains. You can do this before the event begins or while it’s ongoing with sports markets.
Take an NFL game between the Packers vs the Lions, for example. The moneyline event contract for the Lions to win may jump from $0.57 to $0.65 if the Packers take the lead.
If you bought 100 contracts at $57, you can sell at $65 and make $8.
The concept of purchasing Yes/No contracts is simple to understand. For us, that’s the main advantage of prediction market sites. We can also commend the fact that they feature popular US sports leagues and are compliant with CFTC regulations.
However, since they’re not standard sportsbooks, the sites have relatively limited market coverage. That’s the core drawback we noted from our reviews. In summary, these are the pros and cons to know before joining a prediction market site:
With prediction market sites, you get a unique system for engaging with sports outcomes. Just pick your event, buy Yes/No contracts, and submit.
If the outcome favors your prediction, you receive a $1 payout on each contract.
For an optimal experience, ensure you only use reputable prediction market sites.
We’ve shared the factors that matter, including regulation, market coverage, fees, and more.
That said, you can save yourself the time by going with any of our top five picks: Polymarket, Kalshi, Plus500, ProphetX, and Crypto.com.
When you make your choice, tap the banners on this page to visit the site and sign up today.
The best prediction market site in the US depends on your preferences. However, the top five platforms we recommend are Polymarket, Kalshi, Plus500, ProphetX, and Crypto.com.
Prediction market sites pay out based on whether the event happens. If the outcome is true, the contract settles at $1. Otherwise, it settles at $0. Your gain is the difference between the contract price and the final $1 settlement.
There’s no guaranteed strategy for winning with prediction markets since outcomes totally depend on chance. That said, you can focus on markets you understand well to get an edge.
Prediction markets are pretty reliable in showing the real-time probability of event outcomes. However, the markets can sometimes be incorrect since prices move according to trader activity.
Yes, online prediction market sites are legal in the US, as long as they operate under CFTC regulation. However, availability may vary from state to state, so check your local laws.
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