We have recently recapped the awful performances of baseball and college football pundits—both groups whiffed entirely on either of the championship game participants. Did the NFL pundits do any better with their preseason predictions? We tracked 63 "experts" from CBS, ESPN, NFL.com, and Sports Illustrated.
First, here were the aggregate picks for Conference and Super Bowl winners.
|Broncos: 31||Seahawks: 24||Seahawks: 16|
|Patriots: 11||49ers: 18||49ers: 14|
|Texans: 10||Falcons: 13||Broncos: 13|
|Bengals: 10||Packers: 7||Falcons: 7|
|Colts: 1||Saints: 1||Packers: 7|
The group did quite well this season, with 49% of the pundits picking the Broncos to win the AFC (Vegas pegged their odds at 33%) and 38% selecting the Seahawks in the NFC (Vegas = 17%).Now here are the individual selections. 13 of the 63 pundits picked both the Broncos and Seahawks to make the Super Bowl, including Jim Trotter of SI.com, who has been the best preseason prognosticator of the group since we started tracking them (he was one of two to predict the Harbaugh Bowl last year). Another 16 picked either the Broncos or Seahawks to win it all.
|Jason La Canfora||CBS||CIN||SEA||SEA|
|Michael C. Wright||ESPN||HOU||SEA||SEA|
We will update the full preseason rankings (2009-13) after the Super Bowl. For those new to our site, PunditTracker levels the playing field by allowing users to compete with the 'experts'. If you'd like to make your own Super Bowl pick — as well as several prop bets — head over to our Sports section and use the 'Vote Now' button to make your picks. As with the NFL 'experts', we will hold you accountable after the game!
PunditTracker's mission is to bring accountability to the prediction industry by cataloging and scoring the predictions of pundits.
Original images via Getty