Which upsets are going to make you wanna delete your bracket (or brag incessantly) this year?

It’s that time of the year again. While everyone is going through their brackets and making last-minute changes, the thought of picking this year’s magical upset is always looming.

So we decided to do you a favor and break down which lower seeds will have the best chance to make some noise in this tournament.

Check it out:

UC Santa Barbara is just a solid overall team from top to bottom. They rank in the top 20 nationally in scoring defense, field goal percentage, and scoring margin. They are led by senior guard Jaquori McLaughlin who averages 16.2 points and 5.2 assists per game. They’ll take on a Creighton team who has to deal with their head coach making stupid racist remarks and who just got blitzed by Georgetown in the Big East title game. If UC Santa Barbara can control the game and dictate tempo they’ll have a great chance of pulling off an upset in the round of 64.

Winthrop is led by their passionate head coach Pat Kelsey and ranks in the top 30 nationally in both scoring offense and scoring margin. Senior guard Chandler Vaudrin has shown that he can do anything on the basketball court. He leads Winthrop in scoring, rebounds, assists, and steals. Vaudrin also ranks seventh nationally in assists per game. In addition, the Eagles have three other players averaging double figures in points. This is a team that could easily catch Villanova sleeping in the round of 64 and advance.

If Colgate can catch fire it might be lights out for many of these power five schools. The Raiders are a team that can straight up give you buckets. They are second nationally in scoring offense and 4th in scoring margin. Not to mention they are 3rd in the nation in three-point percentage. Colgate has four guys averaging over 11 points per game this season including senior Jordan Burns who leads the team with 17 points, 5.4 assists and 1.6 steals a game. The problem with Raiders is that they don’t play any defense. They are ranked 122 in the nation scoring defense but if they get hot. They could spell trouble for multiple teams in this tourney.

Liberty is another team that can pick up a few wins in the tourney if the ball bounces their way. The Flames get it done defensively, they rank third in the nation in scoring defense and also rank seventh in scoring margin. While they only rank 85th in scoring offense, they are very efficient from the three-point line at sixth in the nation. Darius McGhee leads the Flames with 15.6 points per game. They’ll have a tough test against Cade Cunningham and Oklahoma State in the round of 64 but if they lock down on defense and get hot from three they can pull off an upset.

Abilene Christian might be the most interesting team in the entire tournament. When you look at the numbers associated with this team you can easily see how they’ll be able to give any team problems in a one-and-done scenario. First, they get after you on defense unlike any other team in the field. They lead the nation in turnovers forced and turnover margin. The Wildcats are also seventh in scoring defense and fifth in scoring margin. If Abilene Christian can force turnovers and capitalize on the offensive end they can bust a lot of brackets. Their style of play should make for a lot of exciting matchups. Texas has experienced guards in Matt Coleman and Andrew Jones, so turnovers might be hard to come by. But if the Wildcats can prove to be pests on the defensive end, anything could happen.