College Football Win Totals Futures: Best Over/Under Win Totals for 2025 Season

The college football season kicks off this weekend (kind of), so now’s the time to pick some teams that could exceed preseason expectations. Maybe oddsmakers are overlooking these teams, or perhaps there’s just good value to be had, but who doesn’t love betting on an underdog?

Ohio State over 10.5 wins (+120)

Okay, this is not the scrappy underdog story teased in the lead-up to this pick.

The problem is, I love transfer quarterback Julian Sayin. If you want another future, sprinkle a small bet on him to win the Heisman at +2000.

Sayin could be the best Elite 11 camp winner Ryan Day has ever coached — and he’s already had Justin Fields and C.J. Stroud. He has such a smooth, quick release and an absolute cannon of an arm.

Oh, and he’s throwing to the best player in college football, Jeremiah Smith. Having Smith as your No. 1 wide receiver makes life easier for a quarterback who’s new to an offense.

The schedule is not easy for the Buckeyes:

• No. 1 Texas
• at No. 12 Illinois
• No. 2 Penn State
• at No. 14 Michigan

It’s an absolute gauntlet, and Ohio State could stumble into two losses. But I like the Buckeyes at plus money to go 11-1, and I think Day finally gets the monkey off his back and handles Michigan again.

Virginia over 6.5 wins (+120)

Two things are going the Cavaliers’ way.

One, they’re sneaky good. Two, they don’t play a single ranked team.

I’d be shocked to see Virginia as a double-digit underdog in any game this season, except against Louisville or North Carolina.

The Cavaliers went 5-7 last season, but this year they avoid Clemson, Notre Dame and SMU. The schedule is far more favorable.

Once again, I’m betting on good quarterback play. Chandler Morris has the talent to steal wins for Virginia. The transfer from North Texas is coming off a 3,800-yard, 31-touchdown season. With an improved offensive line, Virginia should take a big step forward and push for eight or nine wins.

Kent State over 1.5 wins (-180)

Ohio State might not be the plucky underdog, but you can’t get more underdog than the Golden Flashes.

There’s no way Kent State is the worst team in college football for a third straight year, right?

Well, they’ll likely still be a bottom-feeder, but I’d be shocked to see them finish with fewer than two wins.

First, Kenni Burns is no longer the head coach. He was historically bad, so just that change should improve the program’s culture. Second, the schedule includes two very winnable games. Merrimack is a below-average FCS school, and UMass at home could give Kent its first conference win since 2023.

Kent State had the worst defense in college football last season, but most of its production returns. A year of continuity should mean at least marginal improvement.

Finally, quarterback play should improve. Tommy Ulatowski struggled last season, but Fordham transfer CJ Montes is a more exciting option than in years past.

Two wins. That’s all I’m asking for.