Jake Paul vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr.: Odds, Picks, and Best Bets

Middleweight Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. steps into the boxing ring Saturday night with Jake Paul in the latest lap on his tour of past-their-prime punchers.

Paul had his hand raised after a staredown with Mike Tyson in November, when the 58-year-old heavyweight legend looked his age and struggled to connect or land a clean punch on Paul.

Chavez Jr. is 19 years younger than Tyson, but the 39-year-old isn’t exactly in his physical prime or at top form. He was middleweight champion in 2011 and fought on the Paul-Mike Perry undercard in 2024.

What can we expect in Anaheim, California, on Saturday night?

Most likely, more of the same.

Jake Paul vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. Bets: To go the distance (-155 at Caesars Sportsbook)

You can get odds as high as 22-1 for a draw, and Paul is the prevailing favorite. Cesar Chavez Jr. is down to 5-1 odds for the upset victory, and that could jump as fight night approaches.

With Paul already staring past Chavez Jr. and to his next payday — to quote the bigger and stronger boxer in this match, he wants “Gervonta Davis, Anthony Joshua, KSI, Tommy Fury, Ryan Garcia, Badou Jack” this year — an upset isn’t impossible, but unlikely.

Fury is the only fighter to blemish Paul’s record, and his height and length were factors in that split decision.

Chavez won’t take many punches if he enters the fight with his usual stamina. Dancing around and under punches from Paul and making him chase to wear him down could open the door for offense later in the fight. But Paul rarely gets rocked and doesn’t drop easily.

The cat-and-mouse charade has played out in almost every Paul bout to date, and more of the same is the most likely outcome Saturday night.

Need to pick a winner? Paul via decision (-110 at DraftKings)

Four of Paul’s past six fights have gone the distance and were determined by the judges. He’s lost only once and has a win over Anderson Silva, the lone common opponent between these fighters.

Paul is -110 to win by decision at multiple books, and if this is the outcome you expect, it’d be wise to jump on it early.