Wednesday July 9th MLB Betting Picks: Best Baseball Value Plays Today

Wednesdays can be miserable, but there’s one way everyone can beat the Hump Day blues — put some money down on an MLB game. The earliest start today is 1:10 p.m. ET (Rays-Tigers), but you don’t want to bet on just any game.

No, you want to make the Best MLB Bets possible.

We’ve got a list right here that can help you do just that (odds via FanDuel).

Colorado Rockies (+1.5) vs. Boston Red Sox (-310), O/U 9

The Rockies are starting Antonio Senzatela. He’s 3-12 in 17 starts and 18 appearances with a 6.57 ERA, 1.90 WHIP, and .353 opponent batting average. He’s 1-6 in eight road starts with a 6.32 ERA and .380 OBA.

The Red Sox are starting Lucas Giolito, who is 5-1 in 12 starts with a 3.66 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. However, he has not pitched well at Fenway, going 2-1 in six home starts with a 5.83 ERA and .339 OBA.

That said, Giolito allowed one earned run over 7 2/3 innings in his last start against Washington.

Our Pick: Red Sox -2.5 at +114 (alt run line)

Giolito’s home splits are shaky, but he’s looked sharp in his last two outings, surrendering zero earned runs while going deep into games. Meanwhile, Colorado is hitting .255 over the last week, so they might plate a couple.

But Boston is crushing the ball — .329 team average over the last week and .300+ across the first two games of the series. Senzatela has been rocked all year, and this game profiles as another Red Sox blowout.

Pittsburgh Pirates (+164) vs. Kansas City Royals (-1.5), O/U 8.5

Bailey Falter starts for Pittsburgh. He’s had a solid season (6-4 in 18 starts, 3.69 ERA, 1.18 WHIP), but the road has been unkind: 1-3 in eight starts with a 4.28 ERA and .248 OBA.

The bigger issue? Pittsburgh’s bats. The Pirates are hitting .159 over the last week with just 11 runs in their last six games.

Kansas City counters with Kris Bubic, who’s having an excellent season: 7-6 in 17 starts with a 2.37 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. The odds of Pittsburgh breaking out against him are slim. Meanwhile, the Royals are hitting a respectable .244 over the past week.

Our Pick: Royals -1.5 at +106

With Bubic on the bump and the Pirates lineup sputtering, Kansas City should win comfortably. A 3+ run win is in play.

Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (+132), O/U 8.5

The Dodgers are reeling, losers of five straight, including back-to-back blowouts (outscored 12-2). They’re hitting just .211 over the last week and have scored only 19 runs across seven games.

Tyler Glasnow is expected to return from the 60-day IL to start for L.A. He had some solid outings before the injury, but his overall ERA is 4.50, and he posted a 7.50 ERA in two road starts.

The Brewers will roll with Jose Quintana, who is 6-3 in 12 starts with a 3.44 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. At home, however, he’s just 2-2 with a 5.96 ERA and a .292 OBA.

Our Pick: Brewers ML at +132

This game could go one of two ways: either Quintana contains a cold Dodgers lineup and Milwaukee does enough to win, or the Dodgers finally explode.

Until L.A. shows signs of life, we’re fading them. Brewers ML has value.