Top 10 NFL Player Prop Bets for Week 15: Best Picks, Odds & Analysis

We are done with the bye weeks, so there is a full slate of games this week for our betting and viewing pleasure. With division titles, playoff spots, and seeding on the line, we are bound to see the best of several of today’s biggest NFL superstars, making for some intriguing NFL player prop bets this week.

At the same time, we are bound to see some of our favorite stars collapse under the pressure and underperform. Either way, the following are our top ten NFL player prop bets for Week 15 (in no special order).

Jacoby Brissett, OVER 37.5 Passing Attempts (+140, bet365)

The only reason I can see for setting the price on the OVER at +140 is an extreme amount of respect for the Houston defense. But the Cardinals are horrible at running the ball, and they know it, which is why Brissett has attempted 40+ passes in each of his last five games.

Jonathan Taylor, OVER 20.5 Rushing Attempts (-102, FanDuel)

Whether it’s Riley Leonard or Phillip Rivers at QB, the Colts have to lean hard on Taylor for the rest of the season to have a shot at salvaging their season. Running backs have averaged 19.85 vs. the Seattle defense, so it is not hard to see Taylor going for OVER 20.5 carries.

Dak Prescott, OVER 34.5 Passing Attempts (-125, BetMGM)

Dallas had 47 last week and averaged 40.7 over their last three. Minnesota has the No. 4-ranked pass defense, but Dallas is built to pass the ball on offense. Prescott had 36+ attempts in four of his last five games and 33 in the fifth.

Dallas must win to keep their fading playoff hopes alive, so they’ll be passing early and often.

J.J. McCarty, UNDER 29.5 Passing Attempts (-125, bet365)

It may be tempting to go with the OVER, but McCarthy is not on the same level as Goff. Having him throw 30+ times would be setting him up for failure. The smart play for Minnesota would be to lean on Aaron Jones and have McCarthy throw no more than 25 passes.

J.J. McCarthy, To Throw an Interception — Yes/No (-174 / +132, FanDuel)

McCarthy has had one in six of seven starts this season, the one outlier being last week vs. Washington. But Dallas is tied for second-to-last in interceptions this season with five. I’m banking on the Vikings focusing on the run and taking the game out of McCarthy’s hands as much as possible.

Cam Ward, OVER 32.5 Passing Attempts (-110, bet365)

He’s gone OVER this number in three of his last four games and will likely be playing catch-up for of this one. They may try harder to establish the run with how Tony Pollard ran the ball last week. But once the 49ers shut him down and build a lead, Ward will throw enough to go OVER this TOTAL.

Brock Purdy, UNDER 242.5 Passing Yards (-115, BetMGM)

Purdy has struggled to get the passing game on track since coming back from his injury, throwing for 200, 193, and 168 yards in the last three weeks. Now, the Titans' pass defense is not great and just gave up 300+ yards to Shedeur Sanders.

But I’m counting on Purdy to remain out of sync and for the 49ers to focus on the run in the second half.

Josh Allen, OVER 271.5 Pass + Rush Yards (-115, bet365)

Josh Allen, Anytime Touchdown (-110, bet365)

He combined for OVER 300 yards earlier this season against the Patriots, and has gone OVER this mark in four of his last five games. If the Bills are going to have a shot at the division title, they have to knock off the Pats. Allen is all about making big plays at this time of year and will do so here.

As for whether he’ll score, he didn’t score against the Pats earlier this year, but he has scored 12 times and in three of his last four games. His knack for coming through in the clutch has me taking him to score this time.

Jalen Hurts, Anytime Touchdown (-120, bet365)

Hurts has not been as active in the run game lately, but he has scored touchdowns in two of his last five games. 

As massive favorites in this game, at some point, they’ll focus on the run game to kill the clock, which makes it a little more likely Hurts finds his way back to the end zone.