As we wonder how the heck Barry Bonds can be out with shin splints when he never actually runs, we point out that, because of his injury and his recent slump, it is no longer an absolute certainty that he's going to break Hank Aaron's record.

Baseball Prospectus says there'san 8.5 percent chance that he won't pull it off in 2007, and though that might seem too low for comfort, it's still a damn sight better than it was three weeks ago. And there's still a possibility that he might go on the DL with his splints of shin. So don't give up hope yet, folks: Stranger matters have occurred.

Is There A Chance Barry Bonds Doesn't Break Hank Aaron's Home Run Record? [FanIQ]
Bonds Update 6-6 [Baseball Prospectus]
How Can Barry Bonds Have Shin Splints? [Say Hey]