To kick off Week 7 of the NFL season, we have the New Orleans Saints hosting the Denver Broncos. This marks the first game for Sean Payton, the incumbent head coach of the Broncos. He will be returning to New Orleans, where he coached from 2006 to 2021.
Both teams are coming off home losses, and the Saints are slated to start rookie quarterback Spencer Rattler for the second straight game. The Saints lost 51-27 to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, while the Broncos lost 23-16 to the Los Angeles Chargers. Looking at the moneylines, the Saints are +105, with an implied probability of winning 48.78%. The Broncos are -125, with an implied winning probability of 55.56%.
As for the touchdown prop betting markets, Saints running back Alvin Kamara is +105 (48.78%). Here, I’ll preview our exclusive bet365 welcome bonus, examine the odds, provide you with the best bet, and more.
At bet365 Sportsbook, you’ll receive either a $1,000 Safety Net Bet or $200 in bonus bets when you bet just $5 when you click our link and sign up for an account.
Both offers require a minimum deposit of $10.
From here, follow these steps to claim either offer:
You must wager all bonus bets you receive on contests with minimum odds of -500 or greater.
To say this game matters to Payton would be a massive understatement. This is Payton’s first game back in New Orleans, and this time, he’ll be coaching the other team. Payton won a Super Bowl with the Saints and is heralded as the best head coach in the franchise’s history. The Broncos are coming off a loss to the Chargers 23-16. They allowed 128 rushing yards to the Chargers, including 96 to J.K. Dobbins. He ultimately averaged 3.8 yards per carry. They allowed Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert to complete 21 of 34 passes for 237 yards and one touchdown.
Broncos quarterback Bo Nix completed 19 of 33 passes for 216 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception. He also ran for 61 yards. The Broncos struggled to get the running game going, though. The running backs combined for 11 carries for 44 yards.
Remember, Broncos cornerback Patrick Surtain II left the game after just one snap due to a concussion. I don’t expect him to play on Thursday Night Football on a short week, either. The Broncos had two turnovers and five punts before really getting things going, and by then, it was too late. As for the Saints, They kept the game close. In fact, they led at halftime, 27-24. However, they were outscored 27-0 in the second half and lost 51-27. Rattler was in the first start of his career. He completed 22 of 40 passes for 243 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions.
The Saints defense had three interceptions, but Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield also threw for 325 yards and four touchdowns. Sean Tucker also contributed to the running game, running 14 times for 136 yards and one touchdown. Looking at the injury report, I expect the Broncos to be without Surtain II.
As for the Saints, it’s not looking good for wide receiver Chris Olave (concussion), wide receiver Rashid Shaheed (knee), or offensive linemen like Lucas Patrick (chest) or Cesar Ruiz (knee) to play. Going up against a rookie quarterback in his second start, expect the Broncos to come away with this one.
The total in this game is quite low at 37 points, and understandably so. The Broncos are a defense-first team, but they’re without Surtain II. At the same time, the Saints have a rookie quarterback without his best receiver.
Look for the Broncos to use this game as a way to get the running game going.
They’ll win this game 17-13.
With player props, you can still wager on the game without worrying about the final outcome, as you’re really only focusing on the production of a specific player.
Given how many players are out on the Saints side, I think Kamara’s Any Time TD prop of +105 is a fair play. He should get plenty of work in both the passing and running game, especially if Olave and Shaheed are absent.
He’ll be the entire offense.
Below, I’ll list other Any Time TD and First Scorer TD prop bets and their implied probability.
If you or someone you know needs assistance with a gambling problem, dial or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Loading …
