Week 16 of the NFL season begins on Thursday, Dec. 19, with the Los Angeles Chargers hosting the Denver Broncos. These teams are both in the AFC West, and the Broncos have a one-game lead over the Chargers. The Broncos are 9-5, while the Chargers are 8-6.
Both teams have done well against the spread. The Broncos are 11-3, while the Chargers are 9-4-1. The Chargers are 2.5-point favorites.
My top spot to wager on this game is BetMGM Sportsbook, thanks to our exclusive welcome bonus. On top of that, BetMGM has some excellent anytime and first-scorer touchdown props. Below, I’ll examine our offer, provide my best bet for this matchup, and explain the props.
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This is going to be a close game between two division rivals. While the Chargers are favored at home, these are two teams on different paths lately. The Broncos have won four straight, while the Chargers have lost two in a row.
Broncos quarterback Bo Nix continues to play well, throwing multiple touchdown passes in four of his last five games. He’s been a bit turnover-prone lately, though, throwing five picks over the last two games.
The Broncos defense has certainly helped Nix, too. They lead the NFL in sacks with 49 and are plus-five in turnover differential. That said, the Chargers are plus-11 and have 40 sacks. Still, I’m taking the Broncos +2.5 available at most online sportsbooks at -105.
Over the last three games, the Chargers offense has averaged just 227 yards per game, which is dead-last in the NFL in that span. They have a chance to improve against a Broncos defense that’s allowed the most yards per game over the last three games, but I think the Chargers lack of weapons outside of wide receiver Ladd McConkey will show up again here. The Broncos cover on the road.
Best Bet: Broncos +2.5 (-105) at BetMGM Sportsbook
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As mentioned, these teams are in intriguing spots. Over the last three games, the Broncos defense has allowed the most yards per game, while the Chargers’ offense has averaged the fewest yards per outing.
With this being a division game, though, between two teams that know each other, I’m expecting the total to go slightly over. I’ll take the Broncos outright, 23-21.
In a game like this, between two teams in the same division, on a short week, and with not exactly a clear picture of which team is better, there are other ways to bet. These include anytime and first scorer touchdown props.
There is one issue with these props, and for this particular game, with two defenses of this caliber, finding a player who will score can be challenging.
After looking over the players, considering value, and examining recent performances, I’d be willing to take a chance on Broncos wide receiver Courtland Sutton at +180. He’s scored four times over the last five games, including three scores over the last three. Since Week 7, he’s seen eight targets or more in every game.
The Chargers have allowed four touchdowns to wide receivers over the last two games. Sutton, who lines up primarily on the left side, will see a lot of Chargers cornerback Kristian Fulton.
Fulton has allowed 29 catches for 351 yards and four touchdowns this season, including one last week to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. I’d roll the dice on Sutton with a half-unit wager. He’s the top option in the Broncos offense.
25+ sports markets. Generous welcome bonus. Frequent odds-boosts. T&Cs and 21+ apply
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