
Thursday Night Football, Week 8 of the NFL season, sees the Minnesota Vikings head west to take on the Los Angeles Rams. The Rams are 2-4 this season, while the Minnesota Vikings are 5-1 and coming off their first loss of the season. The Vikings are favored in this one at -175, with an implied winning probability of 63.64%. There aren’t any touchdown-related player prop betting markets at BetMGM, but plenty of others, including passing touchdowns. Vikings quarterback Sam Darnold is -120 (54.55%) to pass for more than 1.5.
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While the Rams are coming off a win and the Vikings are coming off a loss, I’m siding with the Vikings here.
The Vikings lost in the game’s waning seconds to a division rival, the Detroit Lions. The Rams won at home, but by a margin of just 20-16, over the Las Vegas Raiders, who had to replace their starting quarterback (Aidan O’Connell) with the starting quarterback who began the season (Gardner Minshew).
Thankfully, the Rams got contributions from Kyren Williams in the running game. He had 21 carries for 76 yards and two touchdowns. It wasn’t the most efficient day, but the two touchdowns were key to the win, as the Rams couldn’t pass the ball.
Quarterback Matthew Stafford completed 14 of 23 passes for 154 yards and had one interception. Additionally, the other score came on a fumble recovery by Rams safety Kam Curl, which was returned for a touchdown.
The Vikings are an excellent team. They force many turnovers (nearly two interceptions per game), and their defense has been excellent overall this season. They allow a lot of passing yards, but the Rams passing attack doesn’t have the players in place to take advantage, even with Cooper Kupp back in his first game. The Vikings have also only allowed three rushing touchdowns this season to opposing running backs, and two of them came last week against the Lions.
The Rams are simply outmatched here, even at home.
Take the Vikings.
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The total in this game is at 48 points, and I’d lean under this slightly because I’m not sure how this Rams offense will perform against this defense.
My final score prediction for this game is the Vikings win 24-14.
As a unit, the Vikings have 24 sacks, and the Rams offensive line has been shaky. They could get Joe Noteboom back, but still, this defense will be ferocious after Stafford, who has limited weapons.
With player props, you can wager on games without really concerning yourself with the final outcome of the game. Sure, good performances can lead to a win, but that’s not always the case.
There are plenty of player props, including passing touchdowns, receiving yards, and more.
Here, Darnold is -120 to go over on his passing touchdown line at 1.5. As for Stafford, he’s +115 to go over 1.5.
I like Darnold to hit two passing touchdowns in this game. He has just one touchdown over the past two games, but he’s had two or more in every other game before that.
The Rams have allowed two passing touchdowns or more in three games this season.
They held the Raiders, Chicago Bears, and Detroit Lions to just one passing touchdown.
Below, I’ll examine receiving yardage props and passing touchdowns.
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