On Thursday Night Football in Week 9 of the NFL season, the New York Jets will host the Houston Texans.
The Jets are 2-6 this season, while the Houston Texans are 6-2. The Texans won in Week 8 after losing in Week 7, while the Jets have lost five straight games.
The Jets are favored by two points. The Texans are dealing with another injury to a wide receiver: Stefon Diggs tore his ACL.
There are a plethora of touchdown-related props, with Texans running back Joe Mixon having a 60.78% chance of scoring a touchdown.
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I had been a fan of the Jets and was really prepared to see them make a turnaround with the acquisition of Davante Adams, but that simply isn’t happening. They lost in Week 8 to the New England Patriots and have now lost five straight.
Yes, the Texans have several injuries, including to wide receiver Nico Collins and Stefon Diggs, but there are still some weapons left in the passing game, and we cannot forget about running back Joe Mixon.
Mixon has run for 102 yards or more in four of five games this season, including the last three. He’s scored in all but one game.
I’m referring to the one game in both of those stats where he got hurt: Week 2 against the Chicago Bears.
The Jets are allowing opposing running backs over 101 rushing yards per game and have allowed three rushing touchdowns to the position over the last two games.
The Texans are allowing two passing touchdowns per game, but they’ve allowed just one rushing touchdown to an opposing running back over the last three games.
I think this will be a close game, given the wide receiver injuries to Houston, but the Texans will cover on the road, thanks to Mixon.
Best Bet: Texans +2 (-110) at BetMGM Sportsbook
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With the way the Jets are playing, I’d give them a strong chance of losing this game. However, with the lack of weapons on the Texans, I think they find a way to finally break their five-game losing streak.
The Texans allow 1.38 touchdowns per game to opposing wide receivers, and I think Adams will finally break out here.
Jets win 21-20.
Player props are a fantastic betting market to take advantage of, especially if you’re having trouble picking a winner in the game. Player props don’t necessarily correlate to the final outcome of the game.
For this game, there are ample touchdown-related props, including Any Time and First Scorer.
Mixon is -155 to score a touchdown, and that’s a prop I’d take. He’s scored in every game he’s started and finished and gone for over 100 yards in those games.
The Jets have allowed three rushing touchdowns over the past two games.
Below, I’ll examine the Any Time and First Scorer TD props.
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