We've identified Kalshi, Polymarket, Crypto.com, and Plus500 as the best NFL prediction market sites for 2026. These platforms offer a diverse selection of markets and contracts, across individual NFL games and futures.
You can learn more about these sites below. This guide also includes an introduction to NFL prediction markets and how to trade individual contracts, and offers some advice on how to get started with your first picks!
Let’s start by analyzing our top NFL prediction sites in more detail. This will help you to understand the pros and cons of each one and select the right platform for you.
| Prediction markets site | Examples of NFL markets |
|---|---|
| Kalshi | Game-winner, props, futures, win totals, awards, coaches, divisions, draft, H2H win total, hall of fame, league leader, next team, retirement, season stats |
| Polymarket | Games, futures, retirements, starting QB, drafts, trades, divisions |
| Crypto.com | Futures, MVP, game-winner, coaches |
| Plus 500 | Futures, Games, MVP, Trades |
You can trust the market-leading prediction markets brand to give you a vast range of NFL event contracts. There are contracts for every game in the NFL where you can make predictions on the game-winner, as well as all of the props you’d expect.
There’s also a massive range of futures prediction to be had from who’ll win the Super Bowl, how many wins a team will get in the season, who’ll win the AFC North and so on. Even when the NFL season is over, you can still make trades on the draft, who’ll retire, who Maxx Crosby’s next team will be and so on. He’s staying at the Raiders in 2026, but is widely tipped to move on soon.
All of this is wrapped up in a fantastically user-friendly site and there are some quality iOS and Android apps that offer you even more convenience. A great choice for all levels of football fan.
This brand is well-known for being extra creative in how it handles its markets, and it’s great to find that this applies to its NFL prediction markets. As such you will get all manner of thought-provoking props for each NFL game and this is something that extends to its futures too.
So you can do things like predict whether the Tush Push will be banned for the next NFL season, whether Aaron Rodgers will retire before the next season, or even who’ll attend Travis Kelce’s wedding with Taylor Swift.
Everything else about Polymarket is as you’d expect with all of the required regulation to operate in more than 40 states at the time of writing. The brand has one of the speediest apps in the business, too. Plus you can even see how other people are trading their NFL prediction markets for an extra level of insight, and this can prove key when targeting highly competitive contracts.
Don’t go thinking that Crypto.com is just a crypto exchange, as the brand has successfully moved into the prediction markets space and offers great coverage of the NFL.
The brand will get in early so that you can make your futures predictions on things like Super Bowl winner, Division winner and so on well in advance of the season, and each game will give you plenty of options too.
Crypto.com is also good for making predictions on where various NFL coaches could be heading next, and there’s solid coverage of all of the main MVP markets. Usability is good here with a stripped-back approach that could benefit anyone feeling a bit intimidated by some of the more heavy-handed prediction markets sites. Plus it’s obviously a natural fit for anyone into cryptocurrencies and football.
Sponsored by Crypto.com – Not investment advice. Trading prediction markets and crypto involves risk, including potential loss of your stake. Consider your risk tolerance before participating. Crypto.com connects U.S. users to CDNA (regulated by CFTC) for derivatives trading. CDNA membership required. Trading may not be suitable for all—you could lose your entire investment plus fees. Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. This is not a solicitation or recommendation to trade.
Plus500 is a platform that has a lower profile than Kalshi and Polymarket, but it offers exceptional NFL coverage. The platform is live in 45+ US states and is currently running competitive futures for the 2026/27 campaign. You’ll also find comprehensive moneylines for each game and MVP contracts.
Plus500 offers a generous welcome bonus, too. As a new user, you’re eligible to receive up to $200 when you credit your account for the first time. You’ll be required to deposit a minimum of $10. The offer also applies to futures trades, such as the winner of Super Bowl LXI.
You’ll also find beginner-friendly guides covering a range of prediction market topics and jargon at Plus500. However, you should note that a nominal 1.75% processing fee is charged to withdrawals. This is something to consider when registering for a new account.
Obviously, the NFL is just one of many sports prediction markets, so why should you trade contracts on the gridiron action and not something else? Well here are the pros and cons of sticking with football trades and markets:
So you’ll already know what the NFL is, and prediction markets enable you to trade contracts on a range of future events happening in the world of football. Here are some pretty simple examples of NFL prediction markets that you might come across:
For each of these questions, you would make your own prediction that is typically a binary “Yes” or “No” answer, and then purchase a corresponding event contract for that prediction.
Each of these contracts will be valued according to public trading activity and they’ll be valued between $0.01 and $0.99. You’ll find that the more expensive contracts are those that are more likely to be correct, while the cheaper ones are less likely to succeed. We’ll touch more on how prices translate into implied probability values in the next section of the guide.
Once you have purchased your contract, you can then sell it to other traders on the site (ideally for a profit) or hang on to it until the market settles. If you hold and your contract proves to be correct, then it will settle at $1.00 per share and trigger a profit. If you hold and your prediction is wrong, your contract will be worth nothing and you will have made a loss.
So let’s give you an example of how you can trade these event contracts for your NFL predictions. Here’s a quick overview of what might happen:
You should find a massive number of ways to make your predictions on everything to do with the NFL. Here are just some examples of the different ways that you could soon be trading:
Perhaps the most popular of NFL prediction markets, you’ll just be predicting who wins each individual game. Simple, yet endlessly enjoyable, especially as fewer than 1% of regular-season NFL games end tied.
These are those predictions that you make that are unrelated to the game result. So you could make predictions on how many yards Patrick Mahomes throws, how many sacks Myles Garrett gets, and even what the result of the first drive will be.
Another popular kind of prediction and this could be where you predict how many points are scored in a game between the Bears and the Dolphins, or even how many wins the Giants get in season. You can use scoring and PPG data to arrive at informed conclusions.
These are where you can trade on anything from the next Super Bowl winner to who’ll win the AFC, or even who the season MVP will be. Note that we can help you find things like Super Bowl prediction markets sites who offer a little extra expertise in these areas.
You’ll likely get to make predictions that are from things far away from the gridiron such as who’ll be first pick in the draft, who’ll be inducted into the NFL Hall of Fame, and even where certain NFL teams might relocate to.
The great news is that prediction markets are actually easier to trade than you’d think. After all, you only have to take the following steps to sign up and make your trades:
Step by StepCopy
Hit any of our preferred prediction markets brands in the banners of this page and it’ll launch their site from your browser
Now you just have to register your account which basically means providing some pretty standard personal info like your name, email and so on
Once you’ve done, you’ll have to verify this information which means passing the KYC procedure and submitting some kind of photo ID
From here you should now be able to make a deposit of your own cash using a payment method like a card, ewallet, bank transfer or maybe even a cryptocurrency
Now it’s just a matter of hitting the Sports tab on the predictions site, finding the NFL section and browsing all of the markets
If you see an event market that matches the NFL prediction you’ve made, you can then click on it and purchase the contract in various quantities
Now the NFL event contract will be added to your portfolio, and you can either hold onto it for the duration of the event or attempt to sell it early for a profit
It’s one thing to enjoy and understand good game of football, and something else to trade prediction markets for the NFL. So we’ve set aside the following handy tips to help you out:
This is the first thing that you should be doing as setting a budget, which means that you won’t be losing any money that you can afford. Be realistic in how much you are willing to spend, and consider keeping your contract purchases to a minimum. Creating a bankroll to cover a finite period of time will also help you to identify optimal trade prices. Plus remember that most of our recommended prediction markets brands feature a variety of responsible trading tools that you can use to keep your NFL trades in check.
You’ll usually find that the prediction markets site features a graph showing you the price movements of all of the relevant NFL event contracts. This can be useful to see how other people have been trading over time, but it probably shouldn’t be used solely as a basis for your own trades. After all, the price of those contracts is only based on trading activity and can be manipulated inadvertently by market sentiment. As a result, you should identify key datasets and resources that can inform your picks, rather than relying on trade volumes and sentiment alone.
Regardless of your chosen markets, you should remember that you don’t have to hold open positions until completion. Instead, you can sell should the value of your shares increase, so long as there’s the necessary demand and liquidity in the market. You can even sell a percentage of your shares and retain a smaller position. The key here is to target undervalued outcomes and set optimal exit points, as this helps to maximize profit and leverage liquidity to your advantage. This requires detailed knowledge of the market, the settlement rules, and the most likely outcomes.
As we’ve touched on, NFL prediction markets are largely driven by trader sentiment. This creates overreactions, causing certain outcomes to be overpriced or underpriced within a particular market. For example, a strong offseason and the blockbuster addition of Myles Garrett saw the LA Rams backed widely in the NFL winner market for 2027, sending their price soaring to 17 cents. However, their true win probability is much lower than 17%, while the Bills and Seahawks can both be backed for less than 10 cents. Ultimately, it’s important to trade without emotion and instead rely on prices analysis, probability, and your underlying NFL knowledge.
Finally, we just have to remind you of the fact that you will be trading with your own money, and this means that you should play it safe when it comes to making your predictions. Sure, there’s nothing to say that the team with the 0-7 record isn’t going to win their next game, but it’s probably not very likely. Instead, we’d recommend keeping your predictions on the clear favorites and doing some research to verify this. If you do back underdogs in game or futures markets, trade cautiously and establish a clear exit strategy.
Kalshi, Polymarket, Crypto.com, and Plus500 are all among our picks as the leading NFL prediction market sites. These platforms are all licensed and offer exceptional NFL market coverage, across individual games, futures, props, and even future player moves.
We’d recommend any of these prediction market sites, so the next step is for you to compare each one independently and make a selection based on your own preferences. It’s also important that you also manage your bankroll and trade within your means at all times, especially when buying contracts and identifying profitable exit points.
Yes, you should be able to as these sites are regulated on a federal level by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). However, several states are currently challenging this regulatory stance in the courts, so check the latest news and guidelines in your local jurisdiction before selecting a site. For example, you might have issues trading NFL prediction markets at Crypto.com from the states of Arizona, New York, Nevada, Ohio, Michigan, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Jersey and Illinois.
You can usually download prediction market apps from the App Store and Google Play. These apps should be free to download and they should automatically install on your smartphone or tablet in just a few seconds.
That totally depends on a variety of circumstances such as the relevant teams, the context of the season, the prediction markets site you are using and so on. However, we’d also add that the best one will usually be the prediction market that allows you to make full use of your football expertise. Futures contracts also offer highly competitive pricing and ample opportunities to sell.
You’ll typically have to be at least 18 years old and you’ll need to verify this fact upon signing up. So be sure to have some kind of government-issued photo ID at the ready.
It’s pretty unlikely as you’ll usually be expected to make a deposit and then use those funds for purchasing the event contracts. You won’t find too many promo offers at prediction markets sites, but we’ll let you know if any become available.
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