We’ve created this guide to give you a solid introduction to NFL prediction markets. Perfect for seeing how you can add an extra dimension to your enjoyment of football.
We’ll start off by explaining what an NFL prediction market actually is, and give you some solid examples so that you can see how they work. There’ll also be mini-guides to some of our favorite sites for football event contracts and we’ll even give you some tips for getting started. All you need to make your NFL predictions with confidence.
So you’ll already know what the NFL is, and prediction markets are ways that you can trade contracts on a range of future events happening in the world of football. Here are some pretty simple examples of NFL prediction markets that you might come across:
For each of these questions, you would make your own prediction that is typically a Yes or No answer, and then purchase a corresponding event contract for that prediction.
Each of these contracts will be valued according to public trading activity and they’ll be valued between $0.01 and $0.99. You’ll find that the more expensive contracts are those that are more likely to be correct, while the cheaper ones are less likely to succeed.
Once you have purchased your contract, you can then sell it to other traders on the site (hopefully at profit) or hang on to it until the event has finished. If your contract proves to be correct, then it’ll be worth $1.00 and you’ll have made a profit. If your prediction is wrong, your contract will be worth nothing and you will have made a loss.
So let’s give you an example of how you can trade these event contracts for your NFL predictions. Here’s a quick overview of what might happen:
Note that if you’d bought a Lions to win contract and they’d won, your profit would have only been $0.24.
You should find a massive number of ways to make your predictions on everything to do with the NFL. Here are just some examples of the different ways that you could soon be trading:
Perhaps the most popular of NFL prediction markets, you’ll just be predicting who wins each individual game. Simple, yet endlessly enjoyable.
These are those predictions that you make that are unrelated to the game result. So you could make predictions on how many passes Patrick Mahomes throws, how many sacks Myles Garrett gets, and even what the result of the first drive will be.
Another popular kind of prediction and this could be where you predict how many points are scored in a game between the Bears and the Dolphins, or even how many wins the Giants get in season.
These are where you can trade on anything from the next Super Bowl winner to who’ll win the AFC, or even who the season MVP will be. Note that we can help you find things like Super Bowl prediction markets sites who offer a little extra expertise in these areas.
You’ll likely get to make predictions that are from things far away from the gridiron such as who’ll be first pick in the draft, who’ll be inducted into the NFL Hall of Fame, and even where certain NFL teams might relocate to.
Obviously, the NFL is just one of many sports prediction markets, so why should you trade contracts on the gridiron action and not something else. Well here are the pros and cons of sticking with football:
Given that the NFL is one of the biggest sports in the US, it’s little surprise to find that it features at most prediction markets sites. However, we have found that some brands offer a superior NFL predictions service than others, and here are three of our favorites to start you off:
| Prediction markets site | Examples of NFL markets |
|---|---|
| Kalshi | Game-winner, props, futures, win totals, awards, coaches, divisions, draft, H2H win total, hall of fame, league leader, next team, retirement, season stats |
| Polymarket | Games, futures, retirements, starting QB, drafts, trades, divisions |
| Crypto.com | Futures, MVP, game-winner, coaches |
You can trust the market-leading prediction markets brand to give you a vast range of NFL event contracts. There are contracts for every game in the NFL where you can make predictions on the game-winner, as well as all of the props you’d expect.
There’s also a massive range of futures prediction to be had from who’ll win the Super Bowl, how many wins a team will get in the season, who’ll win the AFC North and so on. Even when the NFL season is over, you can still make trades on the draft, who’ll retire, who Maxx Crosby’s next team will be and so on.
All of this is wrapped up in a fantastically user-friendly site and there are some quality iOS and Android apps that offer you even more convenience. A great choice for all levels of football fan.
This brand is well-known for being extra creative in how it handles its markets, and it’s great to find that this applies to its NFL prediction markets. As such you will get all manner of thought-provoking props for each NFL game and this is something that extends to its futures too
So you can do things like predict whether the Tush Push will be banned for the next NFL season, whether Aaron Rodgers will retire before the next season, or even who’ll attend Travis Kelce’s wedding with Taylor Swift.
Everything else about Polymarket is as you’d expect with all of the required regulation to operate in all 50 states, and the brand has one of the speediest apps in the business. Plus you can even see how other people are trading their NFL prediction markets for an extra level of insight.
Don’t go thinking that Crypto.com is just a crypto exchange, as the brand has successfully moved into the prediction markets realm, and it’s got great coverage of the NFL. The brand will get in early so that you can make your futures predictions on things like Super Bowl winner, Division winner and so on well in advance of the season, and each game will give you plenty of options too.
Crypto.com is also good for making predictions on where various NFL coaches could be heading next, and there’s solid coverage of all of the main MVP markets. Usability is good here with a stripped-back approach that could benefit anyone feeling a bit intimidated by some of the more heavy-handed prediction markets sites. Plus it’s obviously a natural fit for anyone into cryptocurrencies and football.
Sponsored by Crypto.com – Not investment advice. Trading prediction markets and crypto involves risk, including potential loss of your stake. Consider your risk tolerance before participating. Crypto.com connects U.S. users to CDNA (regulated by CFTC) for derivatives trading. CDNA membership required. Trading may not be suitable for all—you could lose your entire investment plus fees. Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. This is not a solicitation or recommendation to trade.
The great news is that prediction markets are actually easier to trade than you’d think. After all, you only have to take the following steps to sign up and make your trades:
Step by StepCopy
Hit any of our preferred prediction markets brands in the banners of this page and it’ll launch their site from your browser
Now you just have to register your account which basically means providing some pretty standard personal info like your name, email and so on
Once you’ve done, you’ll have to verify this information which means passing the KYC procedure and submitting some kind of photo ID
From here you should now be able to make a deposit of your own cash using a payment method like a card, ewallet, bank transfer or maybe even a cryptocurrency
Now it’s just a matter of hitting the Sports tab on the predictions site, finding the NFL section and browsing all of the markets
If you see an event market that matches the NFL prediction you’ve made, you can then click on it and purchase the contract in various quantities
Now the NFL event contract will be added to your portfolio, and you can either hold onto it for the duration of the event or attempt to sell it early for a profit
It’s one thing to enjoy a good game of football, and something else to trade prediction markets for the NFL. So we’ve set aside the following handy tips to help you out:
This is the first thing that you should be doing as setting a budget means that you won’t be losing any more money that you can afford. Be realistic in how much you are willing to spend, and consider keeping your contract purchases to a minimum. Plus remember that most of our recommended prediction markets brands feature a variety of responsible trading tools that you can use to keep your NFL trades in check.
It can be all too easy to get caught up in the sheer emotion of making your football predictions, but we’d always try and avoid following the crowd. This is especially true when using those prediction markets sites where you can see how other people are trading and even read their comments. So our advice here is to try and ignore all of that noise, and instead focus on doing your own research instead.
You’ll usually find that the prediction markets site features a graph showing you the price movements of all of the relevant NFL event contracts. This can be useful to see how other people have been trading over time, but it probably shouldn’t be used as a basis for your own trades. After all, the price of those contracts is only based on trading activity and has no direct correlation with real-world activities. As a result, you should research in areas that are going to count such as sports news reports and statistical fact rather than the behavior of other traders.
While it’s tempting to want to predict the Super Bowl winner at the start of the season, it can be very dangerous to do so. After all, a lot can change during the course of the season, and we have seen plenty of examples of where successful teams have suddenly taken a nose-dive and won’t even make the playoffs. As a result, you might want to be a little more careful in terms of the futures predictions that you make, and instead focus on the individual games where you have a better idea of what might actually happen.
Finally, we just have to remind you of the fact that you will be trading with your own money, and this means that you should play it safe when it comes to making your predictions. Sure, there’s nothing to say that the team with the 0-7 record isn’t going to win their next game, but it’s probably not very likely. Instead, we’d recommend keeping your predictions on the clear favorites and doing some research to verify this. While you won’t get massive returns from predicting the favorites, it’s true that some modest returns are always better than none.
We’re hoping that you should understand exactly why so many football fans are signing up to prediction markets sites. After all, they offer you a fast and fun way to make your predictions on all of the NFL games you’d expect and you can do it from most states too.
While all of this is good fun, you will still need to take the necessary steps to keep your trading under control, and this means being modest with your deposits and event contract purchases. But as long as you remember that, you should be good to click on any of the links for the NFL prediction markets sites in the banners of this guide to register your account and make your football trades.
Yes, you should be able to as these sites are regulated on a federal level by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). As such, you can use them from all 50 states, although you might have issues trading NFL prediction markets at Crypto.com from the states of Arizona, New York, Nevada, Ohio, Michigan, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Jersey and Illinois.
You can usually download prediction market apps from the App Store and Google Play. These apps should be free to download and they should automatically install on your smartphone or tablet in just a few seconds.
That totally depends on a variety of circumstances such as the relevant teams, the context of the season, the prediction markets site you are using and so on. However, we’d also add that the best one will usually be the prediction market that allows you to make full use of your football expertise.
You’ll typically have to be at least 18 years old and you’ll need to verify this fact upon signing up. So be sure to have some kind of government-issued photo ID at the ready.
It’s pretty unlikely as you’ll usually be expected to make a deposit and then use those funds for purchasing the event contracts. You won’t find too many promo offers at prediction markets sites, but we’ll let you know if any become available.
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