The Minnesota Lynx (32-10) are the best team in the WNBA, but they’ve slipped up a bit lately, losing three of their last four games. However, they were able to bounce back with a 101-89 win over the Connecticut Sun in their last game. But the Sun are one of the worst teams in the league, so we can still consider the Lynx in poor form right now.
The Indiana Fever (27-15) have won three of their last four games, but they’re coming off a 93-77 loss at home against the Mystics. They’ll look to get back on track in a statement game against Minnesota. This has the look of a game that comes down to the wire, so let’s dive into prediction market apps to find value.
The Fever are priced at 51 cents to win this game. This is despite the fact that they have a worse record and lost to the Lynx in their last meeting, 108-100. The market is favoring Indiana due to their home-court advantage here. Plus, with the Lynx on a slump right now, they’re more vulnerable.
However, Minnesota still has a lot to play for, as they’re trying to lock up the top seed in the WNBA, with the Valkyries hot on their tail at only one game back. To that end, we’re getting some value on Minnesota with this favorable number. It’s likely if this game happened a week or two ago, the Lynx would be clear-cut favorites.
With that in mind, I’m favoring the Lynx to win this one.
I’m taking the Lynx at 50 cents to win this one. Minnesota is 2nd in Offensive Rating, while Indiana has struggled to slow down opponents, coming in at 11th in Defensive Rating. That’s a big edge that Minnesota can take advantage of here.
When these teams last met, we saw Lynx guards Olivia Miles and Courtney Williams combine for 55 points in a 108-100 win. Caitlin Clark was kept at bay, putting up 19 points and 10 assists on 8-of-18 shooting.
Simply put, we’re getting a reasonable price on the better team, so let’s ride with the Lynx at 50 cents here.
There has been significant movement on this game, with the Lynx around 54-cent favorites on September 21st, but it’s now the Fever who are slightly favored at 51 cents. The market appears to be reacting to the recent struggles from the Lynx, along with the Fever’s home-court advantage in this spot.
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