The Los Angeles Sparks (15-25) had won two games in a row before the break, so they’ll look to build on that in a tough spot on the road against the Dallas Wings (24-16). The Wings rank 5th in both Offensive and Defensive Rating, so this is a well-rounded team.
Meanwhile, the Sparks are 10th in Offensive Rating and 13th in Defensive Rating. With that said, when these teams met on July 19th, Dallas won by only eight points, so perhaps the Sparks can keep this one closer than projected. To that end, let’s dive into prediction market apps to find value.
The Wings are priced at 77 cents to win this game. This price makes sense because the Wings are at home and are the vastly superior team. Even though the Sparks have won two in a row, that includes a 16-point win vs. the Storm, who are the worst team in the WNBA. In other words, we should take this winning streak with a grain of salt.
It’s going to be tough for the Sparks to slow down an excellent Wings offense. Dallas has scored at least 90 points in four consecutive games, including 97 against the Sun on August 30th. With that in mind, looking at the total makes some sense.
I’m not going to pay up at 77 cents for the Wings to take this one outright. The spread also looks like a bit much, as the Wings are 9.5-point favorites to win this game. With how the Sparks kept it close in the last meeting, this is too many points.
That’s why I’m focusing on a team total, targeting the Wings to go Over 92.5 points scored. This is a number that the Wings have eclipsed in two of their last four games. In the two games where they went Under, they still scored 92 and 91 points, so they were right there.
Facing one of the worst defensive teams in the WNBA in the Sparks, I’m expecting the Wings to light up the scoresheet in this one. Go with Wings team total Over 92.5 points in this spot.
There hasn’t been much movement in this game. The Wings have remained heavy favorites leading up to game time, hovering between 74-76%. This isn’t surprising considering they’re at home and facing one of the worst teams in the league. With that said, targeting the team total is more appealing at 52 cents.
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