Just when it looked like the New York Knicks might sweep the Spurs out of the 2025-26 NBA Finals to win their first championship since 1973, San Antonio stepped up its game to make the series competitive once again. The Spurs capitalized on 13 New York turnovers to squeak by with a 115-111 Game 3 victory that went down to the wire.
It looked as if the Knicks were in perfect position at Halftime, following a 42-point 2nd Quarter performance. But Stephon Castle’s two clutch free throws near the end of the game cemented the Spurs victory. The action returns for Game 4 tonight at Madison Square Garden, with tip-off set for 8:30pm Eastern.
We’re going with New York to win Game 4 tonight. A “yes” trade on the Knicks moneyline is only 54¢ per contract on prediction market apps like Kashi, and New York needs a victory to avoid losing its homecourt advantage for the rest of the series.
If you’re looking for a more convincing pick, then look no further than Jalen Brunson for MVP. If you’re predicting a Knicks win tonight, then buying the Brunson for MVP option at less than 50 cents is an absolute steal – as that price can only drop if the Knicks lose Game 4 tonight.
New York has already proven it can win on the road in San Antonio with an NBA championship on the line. Tonight it needs to reassure its fans that it can win at the Garden.
A lot of the media talk following Monday night’s Spurs victory is related to the president’s attendance at the event, the long lines to get into the venue due to heightened security measures, and the extra-curricular activity Knicks fans took part in when they brawled on the streets following New York’s Game 3 loss.
NYPD responded to the street fights, as all eyes will be on the action outside Madison Square Garden if the Knicks drop a second straight NBA Finals game tonight. Regardless of who wins, Game 5 will be played Saturday evening at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio.
With $8 million already traded on the outcome of tonight’s contest, the New York Knicks moving down to 54 cents is going to be the best value deal available. The Knicks are at home, still have a 2-1 series lead, and want to ensure they can close the series out at home if they’re unsuccessful over the weekend when traveling back to Frost Bank Center.
By comparison, the NBA Finals winner has New York priced all the way up to 62 cents per contract. For sure… Knicks fans and believers are better-served by a Game 4 “yes” trade.
As expected, the market for Victor Wembanyama winning the NBA Finals MVP has increased from 32% to 38% since Monday night. However, if you’re forecasting a Knicks Game 4 win, the 38 cents per contract price is way too expensive.
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