The Dallas Wings (20-14) are coming off a 94-88 win over the Toronto Tempo at home, led by Paige Bueckers, who dropped 22 points and dished out eight assists. They’re in a tough spot on the road against one of the best teams in the WNBA.
The Indiana Fever (21-12) have won seven of their last 10 games, highlighted by an impressive 106-92 win over the New York Liberty. That was a game where Caitlin Clark dropped 22 points with 10 assists. The main question here is, can the Fever keep it rolling? Let’s try to find value at prediction market apps.
The Fever are priced at 72 cents to win this game. This isn’t surprising considering how well they’ve been playing lately. It’s a chance for Indiana to avenge an early-season loss to Dallas, when they fell short at home in a 107-104 game. But that was a matchup where the Fever shot 7-of-24 (29%) from beyond the arc.
Indiana is one of the best three-point shooting teams in the WNBA, tied for 1st with a 39.4% field goal percentage from beyond the arc. They’ll likely shoot at a much better clip than they did in the previous meeting vs. the Wings.
I’m taking Indiana to win by over 6.5 points, which is priced at 54 cents. We just saw the Fever take care of business against the Liberty, who were one of the hottest teams in the league coming into that matchup.
The Fever rank 1st in Offensive Rating, so they’re going to be tough to handle, especially with Caitlin Clark in top form. We recently saw the Wings allow 103 points against the Lynx on August 9th. If they play like that again, it’s going to be tough for them to slow down Clark and company.
While 7+ points is a relatively high bar, the Fever have blown out several teams recently. This includes the Liberty (W 106-92), Fire (W 112-98), and Sun (W 123-88). If they catch fire from beyond the arc, this one could get ugly.
The Wings have lost three of their last four games, allowing at least 88 points in each of those matchups, so they’re coming into this one in poor form.
Dallas narrowly escaped at home against a Tempo team that is 10-23 on the season.
Fever star guard Caitlin Clark has 20+ points and 8+ assists in four of her last five games. She’s racked up 10+ assists on four occasions during this stretch.
Kelsey Mitchell has been rolling as well for the Fever, putting up 26+ points in seven straight games. Together with Clark, they make a formidable backcourt duo for Indiana.
Thursday evening, the Fever were priced at 69%, but they’ve now moved to 73%. It’s clear that the market is showing confidence in the Fever’s recent hot streak. With the Wings playing some of their worst basketball of the season, combined with the Fever in top form, riding with Indiana looks like the right play.
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