Scheffler, DeChambeuau, Rahm: Which Players Will Win a PGA Tour Major This Year?

Paul Skidmore
Last Updated on Wed Apr 22 2026
Reviewed By Vinolin Naidoo
Scheffler, DeChambeau, Rahm Who Will Win a PGA Major
Key Points
  • Scheffler considered a top contender for a PGA Tour Major

  • Rahm offering great potential after comeback win in LIV Golf Mexico City

  • DeChambeau down but not out according to Kalshi markets

The Masters is in the books, with Rory McIlroy successfully defending his title at Augusta National on April 12th. Now, the focus is fully on the three upcoming PGA Majors, and all eyes are on the potential of three top golfers. With help from Kalshi, we’ve been busy checking out the prospect of a Scottie Scheffler, Bryson DeChambeau, or Jon Rahm major victory.

Round-up: The year so far and what comes next

First and foremost, we should mention that the Masters went down to the wire, and just one stroke separated McIlroy from Scheffler. Naturally, this places Scheffler in serious contention with prediction market analysts, but before you consider making the most of the latest Kalshi promo code, you need to look at things a little closer.

Scottie Scheffler: Leading the rankings

It is hard to look past the man who currently holds the number-one spot in the Official World Golf Ranking (OWGR). After a competitive performance in the Masters, we are certain that Scheffler will be honing in on the PGA Championship, hoping to put a one-stroke loss behind him and aiming to add a 21st PGA Tour win to his resume.

For the statisticians, it is worth noting that Scheffler’s tee-to-green portfolio (SG: Total and driving distance) outshines that of his putting rank, too. Although not a guarantee, this split is usually the case for consistent, elite-level golfers and will serve him well on the upcoming par-70 courses.

Bryson DeChambeau: Health concerns and a poor Masters shift the market

DeChambeau came into the Masters backed by many after some strong wins in Singapore and South Africa. He was also leading the league in strokes and had consecutive top-six finishes at the Masters in 2024 and 2025. On form alone, this was enough to pit DeChambeau against the best in the field, but as we know, PGA Tours aren’t won on form alone.

Unfortunately for DeChambeau, the Augusta result was poor. The scorecard showed that DeChambeau missed the cut at 6-over, and a triple-bogey 7 on the 18th on Friday left him two shots outside the cut line.

On top of this, it has been confirmed that DeChambeau is now struggling with a wrist injury. This sees him withdraw from LIV Golf Mexico City, and could impact his position ahead of the PGA Championship. Of course, when firing on all cylinders, DeChambeau is one to watch, so this dip could prove to be a solid entry for some of you.

Jon Rahm: Looking to improve on a disappointing Masters

Rahm is viewed in a similar light to DeChambeau; when all is firing, you can’t help but consider Rahm as a serious competitor. However, that is not what we saw at Augusta.

In fact, he was T-38 and 1 over for the week, and closed with a 68 on Sunday. From a former Masters winner, this simply wasn’t good enough, and changes across this prediction market were soon noted.

Fortunately, the bigger picture isn’t quite as rough, and Rahm has already had some notable successes this year. This includes a season win, three solo seconds, and a solo fifth in his first five LIV starts. Of course, on April 19th, he took the LIV Golf Mexico City by six shots, bouncing back and proving that he is still a name in contention.

Course fit: Golfers vs. the green

From the above, it would be fair to suggest that Scheffler leads the way, Rahm follows, and DeChambeau needs to work through this injury and build some momentum before he is seriously considered ahead of the next PGA Majors. That said, it is also worth considering how the course fits with each playing style.

  • PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club (May 14th-17th): Scheffler and Rahm, but less suited to DeChambeau’s raw power
  • US Open at Shinnecock Hills (June 18th-21st): Rahm and DeChambeau, but you can never count out Scheffler
  • The Open at Royal Birkdale (July 16th-19th): Rahm and Scheffler, but DeChambeau is a genuine wildcard

What does Kalshi think?

Before we leave you with our final verdict, we wanted to share some data that we used to piece together our own predictions. As you can see, Scheffler is miles ahead at Kalshi, but both Rahm and DeChambeau have great early entry potential.

GolferCHANCEYESNO
Scottie Scheffler47%$0.47$0.54
Bryson DeChambeau17%$0.17$0.85
Jon Rahm18%$0.18$0.84

Our verdict: Scheffler looks like the one to watch, but Rahm offers the best value at this stage

We have to agree with Kalshi: Scheffler looks like a top choice to leave with at least one PGA Major win this year.

If it is market potential you are after, though, Rahm could be a solid option. Although poor at the Masters, momentum is already back with a win in Mexico City, and all three PGA Majors suit his playing style.

In truth, we are still a little skeptical about Dechambeau’s place in all of this until his wrist injury is cleared and we see how he bounces back. Rest assured we will have more insights leading up to May 14th.

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