As we head deeper into 2026, there’s ongoing speculation about which companies may go public this year. At the top prediction market, Kalshi, Elon Musk’s SpaceX is the leading company potentially going public in 2026, with a probability of 94%.
Many other companies also have percentages well above 40% for this market at Kalshi. As well as major AI companies, such as Anthropic, Cerebras and Open AI, several other names have been put forward, including social media giant Discord and food outlet Jersey Mike’s. Read on for our full guide on this market and details on trading at Kalshi.
Despite there being no official data that a public launch is planned for any of the companies we’ve mentioned, there has been significant market activity at economic prediction markets such as Kalshi. It’s tricky to make a definite prediction, as companies don’t usually like to reveal their IPO plans publicly until closer to the event. However, based on trends from previous years and current financial movements, there are several companies that look set to go public in 2026.
Based on the latest data from Kalshi, SpaceX is at the forefront of this market, with a whopping 94% ‘Yes’ chance of going public in 2026. This is closely followed by AI company Cerebras, at 90%, and social media outlet Discord, with a 76% chance of ‘Yes’.
Let’s go into more detail about how prediction site Kalshi views the main frontrunners for a public launch in 2026:
Private for more than two decades, there has been major buzz that Elon Musk’s SpaceX will go public in 2026. This could help to gather funds for the company’s planned expansion, although it would limit the individual control Musk has over the company’s objectives and management.
2026 could be a good opportunity for major tech brands, especially AI companies, to go public. Anthropic’s Claude AI model has recently received major upgrades which have placed it ahead of Google and OpenAI in popularity. Investment interest in Claude has also picked up significantly, reflecting the increase in the Kalshi trade where Anthropic is sitting at around 45%.
Discord has also seen mega growth recently and has carved a niche as a specialist social media platform for gamers. Industry analysts think that 2026 could be the perfect time for Discord to go public and, again, that’s reflected in the current Kalshi chance of 76%.
There’s been some significant market movement at Kalshi on this trade. Here’s a rundown of the key trends:
Elon Musk’s company has grown exponentially and has been boosted particularly by the success of Starlink. With ambitious plans for the future (including rockets to Mars), the time looks ripe for SpaceX to go public, making it the clear favorite at Kalshi.
AI company Cerebras has recently announced a collaboration that would allow it to implant its hardware to support and upgrade existing systems. This exciting development has seen Cerebras gain momentum on Kalshi to a price of $0.94.
The New Jersey headquartered subway sandwich company was also listed on Kalshi for a possible public launch. However, the brand has slipped down nine points recently, indicating that this may not be on the cards for some time.
In the past few years, we’ve seen big developments in tech companies, especially AI providers, and this has increased public demand for investment opportunities. Not only has the technology improved and AI capacity increased, it’s now possible to integrate AI into systems to improve efficiency. There are also now more options for adding monetization through upgraded features and subscriptions. It’s not surprising, therefore, that tech companies are topping Kalshi’s prediction markets.
Kalshi is one of the top prediction markets thanks to its ease of use and flexibility. Here’s our easy guide to trading this market:
Have a look at the table below for the current Kalshi prices for this pick:
| Company | Chance | ‘Yes’ price | ‘No’ price |
|---|---|---|---|
| SpaceX | 94% | $0.95 | $0.06 |
| Cerebras | 90% | $0.94 | $0.10 |
| Discord | 76% | $0.77 | $0.28 |
| Jersey Mike’s | 68% | $0.78 | $0.31 |
| OpenAI | 54% | $0.54 | $0.49 |
| Anthropic | 42% | $0.47 | $0.57 |
At the time of writing, prediction market Kalshi has SpaceX as the most likely company to go public in 2026, with an implied probability that’s hovering around 95%. However, Cerebras is not too far behind, with a chance currently standing at 90%.
Recent reports suggest that 2026 could be a big year for tech companies, and AI brands are leading the way with advanced functionality and more features. If you want to trade on this market, you can do so right now by clicking on the banners on this page to go straight to Kalshi. Make your pick in seconds and you’ll be in the perfect position to watch the market develop.
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