On Sunday Night Football, in Week 5 of the NFL season, the Dallas Cowboys will take on the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Cowboys beat the New York Giants on the road in Week 4 on Thursday Night Football and have a mini-bye week between Week 4 on TNF and Week 5 on SNF. The Steelers lost their first game of the season in Week 4 on the road against the Indianapolis Colts.
Based on the moneylines, the Steelers’ implied probability of winning is 57.45%, while the Cowboys’ is 46.73%.
Below, I’ll go over my best bet for this game, predict the score, and fill you in on our exclusive Caesars Sportsbook welcome bonus.
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The Cowboys have been up and down this season, allowing 28 points or more in two games. This week, they’re on the road against a Steelers team with a scrambling quarterback in Justin Fields. This is important because, in Week 3, they took on the Baltimore Ravens and allowed Lamar Jackson to run for 87 yards. Fields has 55 yards or more in two games.
The Steelers allowed 27 in Week 4, but they still have an excellent defense. Opposing quarterbacks average less than 200 passing yards per game.
The Steelers have 57 pressures and 14 sacks this season, including 10 pressures and three sacks from T.J. Watt. Also, Cam Heyward had 15 pressures and two sacks.
The Cowboys have allowed nine sacks and 36 pressures this season.
The Cowboys have a potent passing attack, but with no legitimate second option, I expect the Steelers defense to be ready to slow down CeeDee Lamb as much as possible.
Look for the Steelers to win and cover at home.
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The total in this game is at 44 points. My prediction for the final score is 23-20, in favor of the Steelers. The Steelers defense will be a challenge for this Cowboys passing attack.
Player props are always an exciting alternative the point spread, moneyline, and total as these don’t necessarily have to do with the final outcome of the game.
The most likely player to score a touchdown is Lamb at -127, but I think Fields at +135 is the player here. He’s had three rushing scores over the last two weeks, including two last week, and the Cowboys allowed 87 rushing yards to Jackson a couple of weeks ago.
For additional First Touchdown or Any Time Touchdown props, see the odds below, also from Caesars Sportsbook.
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