In one month, the final major tennis event of the year will begin at Flushing Meadows in New York City. Despite the fact that the women’s singles tournament doesn’t begin for another full month, prediction market forecasters are putting in massive volume on whether the world’s No. 1 women’s singles player, Aryna Sabalenka, can three-peat as US Open champion.
Sabalenka will be in action days before the US Open women’s singles tournament begins. She’s agreed to team up with Novak Djokovic in the special mixed doubles tournament that will be played at the USTA Billie Jean King Tennis Center ahead of the main US Open draws.
At 28 years of age, Aryna Sabalenka is an absolute monster on hard-court surfaces. She made the final of the 2026 Australian Open and is looking to capture her third consecutive US Open title in mid-September. Sabalenka’s main rival, Elena Rybakina was victorious in the Australian Open and poses the most significant threat to the Belarusian’s potential three-peat.
When it comes down to it, the most important consideration for pro traders is the price for each player’s contract on Polymarket. Sabalenka is listed at 31¢ while Rybakina’s per-contract price is selling for a much more reasonable 9.2 cents.
For that reason, we’re aggressively taking the “yes” contracts on Rybakina to pull off the US Open upset and deny Aryna Sabalenka deep into the tournament, even if that match doesn’t occur until the actual final.
Extended weather forecasts are subject to significant change, but if the past is any indication of the future, then sporadic showers along with severe thunderstorms will eventually delay some of the US Open matches.
The USTA Billie Jean King Tennis Center has two stadiums (Arthur Ashe and Louis Armstrong) with retractable roofs, but the other courts (including the Grandstand) are all susceptible to the elements. Expect high temperatures to reach 90 degrees and humid conditions for most of the tournament.
Fans who attend all or part of the tournament should prepare by ensuring they have a reliable umbrella to use as a shade from the blistering heat and as a shield against the afternoon showers that are known to plague the US Open in New York City.
Leading up to the Australian Open women’s singles final match on January 31st, Sabalenka was priced above 50 cents to win this year’s US Open. However, she lost the three-set thriller in Melbourne to eventual champion Elena Rybakina (6-4, 4-6, 6-4) and her price hasn’t recovered since.
Even at this reduced price, we remain confident that Sabalenka is overpriced at 31 cents per contract to hoist the Championship Trophy for a third straight year. Instead, we’re recommending that traders opt for “yes” contracts on Rybakina to pull off the upset in the US Open women’s singles tournament final.
Cable TV subscribers in the United States can catch most of the US Open matches via ESPN, ESPN2, and ABC. If you want multi-court whiparound coverage, check out the ESPN+ app for premium subscriber options before the US Open officially begins in late August.
If you just want to trade on who will win the US Open, you can find dozens of related markets on the Polymarket international exchange. The minimum age to sign up for a new account is 18.
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