Only two more matches remain in the 2026 World Cup. Tomorrow afternoon, France and England will play the Bronze Final at Miami Stadium to determine which team will finish in third place.
For both teams, the consolation match equals a huge disappointment following their losses in the World Cup semifinals. Still, prediction market traders are putting in millions of forecasts on which team will ultimately be remembered as the third-place finisher in the tournament.
France is the odds-on favorite to win tomorrow afternoon in Miami. Traders can pick up the team’s “yes” contracts for 64 cents apiece. Secondary markets on which team will be ahead at the end of the 90-minute regulation period also favor France.
We’re likewise going with France to finish in third place when the final whistle has blown tomorrow. We like the 64¢ per-contract price for France to win and we’re also picking the “yes” option for Les Bleus to be ahead after 90 minutes.
The major wild card for this match is the weather, which we’ll discuss below. Torrential rain could shift the odds, so traders will want to keep an eye on the latest meteorological data before kickoff.
Kylian Mbappé can still potentially win the Golden Boot award. With eight total goals leading into tomorrow’s third-place match, the France striker is tied with Lionel Messi of Argentina.
A big question surrounding the France v England match tomorrow is how players will adapt to the weather. The forecast calls for scorching heat, with a high of about 95 degrees and a heat index over 100 degrees due to the humidity.
Conditions will be outright muggy, and thunderstorms could halt the action mid-match if there’s a confirmed lightning strike nearby. The action could also be significantly impacted by a wet field if the anticipated showers turn into a downpour.
The moneyline prediction for France to be ahead after 90 minutes has jumped from 46 percent to 51 percent in the past 24 hours. It seems that traders who participate in prediction markets are gaining confidence that France will close out the Bronze Medal match without having to go into overtime.
Unless the match is impacted by heavy rain, we don’t see any reason why France won’t be able to take care of business tomorrow afternoon. However, if the field becomes soaked with standing puddles mid-match, the in-game markets could move considerably.
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