Now that Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey has received international acclaim following its box office release, prediction market traders are placing their forecasts for whether the movie will win the Best Picture award at the 99th Academy Awards.
As of Tuesday morning, the Kalshi winner’s market for Best Picture has approached $2.6 million in trading volume, with entries including Dune: Part Three, which is set to be released this December. For now, The Odyssey is trading at 49 cents per contract. Is that price worth it? We’ll dive into the details below.
Now that the Rotten Tomatoes “Tomatometer” and audience scores are published, we find it hard to imagine any other motion picture this year can stop The Odyssey’s momentum. It’s been a huge hit with critics and general audiences alike and is quickly approaching $700 million in box office ticket sales.
For Dune: Part Three to have any chance at overtaking The Odyssey as the frontrunner in the Kalshi winner’s market, it would have to garner similar aggregate reviews from movie fans. Dune: Part Three won’t use the 70mm film that The Odyssey used, so it won’t quite match the actual specs that the current frontrunner enjoyed in IMAX theaters.
We’re locking in on The Odyssey to win the Best Picture award at the 99th Academy Awards in March 2027. As long as you’re willing to wait until then for this market to settle, pick up the “yes” contracts for The Odyssey while they’re priced at 49 cents.
The Odyssey is likely to enjoy an expanded news cycle driven by critics and fans between now and December, when Dune: Part Three releases. This will probably work in The Odyssey’s favor as the movie is rewatched and reevaluated.
And that’s not even counting the hundreds of thousands of fans who will see the movie for the first time in the coming months. True IMAX theaters are sold out between now and September. The film won’t phase out of theaters until October. By then, it will be made available on Apple TV.
There are simply too many factors driving The Odyssey’s popularity and momentum, which is why we recommend buying its “yes” contracts for 99th Academy Awards Best Picture winner’s market on Kalshi.
The Odyssey was priced as low as 23¢ per contract back in May, but the proverbial wrapper has revealed a masterpiece. The resulting odds surge for The Odyssey to win an Oscar for Best Picture has been noticed by casual traders, who are likewise feeding the trading frenzy on Kalshi at the moment.
Look for the per-contract price to jump even more as the film gets seen by even more eyes around the world. The 99th Academy Awards will be held on March 14th, 2027, at the Dolby Theatre in Hollywood.
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