The NFL draft took place this past weekend, and football fans are now speculating who will win the Lombardi Trophy this season, especially with the updated rosters. It’s still early, but prediction markets at Kalshi already have some favorites.
Traders are predicting that a few teams have higher chances of emerging as champions. At the top are the Los Angeles Rams with a 12% probability, while the Seattle Seahawks, Buffalo Bills, Baltimore Ravens, and Detroit Lions are closing in. Let’s look at where the early predictions are pointing toward after the draft and what could change before kickoff.
A total of 257 players have just been drafted, so teams are now buffed heading into the season. Some teams filled gaps, while others built on their strengths. Here’s how the main teams stack up right now.
The Rams are the current leaders across several prediction markets, but Matthew Stafford’s health is still a concern for many people. Should he get medically cleared as expected, traders believe the Los Angeles Rams have all it takes to emerge as the champions. The team also made just five picks in the 2026 draft. It’s the smallest when compared to others, but each new player was targeted to fill immediate needs. Aaron Donald still holds down the defense, and from what we can see, the roster appears to be balanced.
The Seattle Seahawks had the most versatile picks during this season’s draft. They added eight players in total, including Notre Dame running back Jadarian Price. The team had gaps, especially with Kenneth Walker III leaving and Zach Charbonnet’s injury. Pete Carroll’s seems to thrive on developing young talent, and this roster has lots of talent. Traders on Kalshi, alongside other prediction markets, view the Seahawks as top contenders, and we quite agree.
Avid lovers of football know the Buffalo Bills have the talent and potential, but the playoffs are often rough for the team despite Josh Allen’s elite play. Will this season be different? Well, a good number of traders think so. The team had 10 new players from the draft this season, and this could give them an edge in January. Prediction markets on Kalshi currently have the Bills in third place. And this shows that fans see the Bills as being too talented not to be champions this time around.
Lamar Jackson is crucial to the Ravens’ success, and prediction markets have them in with a chance, too. It’s still early, and they are already in fourth place based on the current trades in this prediction market. Also, Ravens’ run game is still one of the best, and their defense isn’t one to buckle under pressure. The team made a total of 11 picks in the 2026 NFL Draft, including guard Olaivavega Ioane from Penn State. Their draft strategy appears to be more focused on protecting Lamar Jackson, adding size at wide receiver, and reinforcing their defense lines. Will this help them close in on the top-tier contenders? Traders think they have a good chance of doing so.
The Lions have some of the league’s best offensive lines, and their picks signal they’re not easing off on winning the Lombardi Trophy this season. Out of their seven new picks, four are defensive players, including edge rusher Derrick Moore. Prediction markets show there’s an increase in confidence they could win this season. But remember, this is a futures market, and the current predictions could change as the season kicks off.
Prediction markets are giving us an early view on who could win Super Bowl LXI. Right now, the Los Angeles Rams are leading this market with a 12% chance, the Seahawks are next in line with a 9% probability, the Bills follow at 7%, and the Ravens and Lions are currently tied at 6%. Remember that it’s still early days and contract prices, as well as the probability of each team winning the trophy, will likely change.
This market has had a lot of activity with over $22 million in trades so far. Sports markets always garner a lot of interest, and the NFL futures are one of such.
Here’s how the market is trading right now.
| NFL team | Chance | Yes Price | No Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Rams | 12% | 12¢ | 89¢ |
| Seattle Seahawks | 9% | 9¢ | 92¢ |
| Buffalo Bills | 7% | 7¢ | 94¢ |
| Baltimore Ravens | 6% | 6¢ | 95¢ |
| Detroit Lions | 6% | 6¢ | 95¢ |
If you’ve got a view on which team will win Super Bowl LXI, you can trade this question at Kalshi. To do so, you must be at least 18 years old and live in a state where Kalshi sports trading isn’t restricted. Signing up using the banners on this page gives you access to a $10 trading bonus. If a promo code for Kalshi is required, you’ll find it listed on our on-page banners.
Here’s how to get started:
Do note that sports trading is off limits in some states, including Nevada, New Jersey, and a few others.
Kalshi lets you trade on the outcomes of both live and futures sports events. Based on traders’ predictions, the Los Angeles Rams are leading, but the gap between the team and the other contenders is slim. The Seattle Seahawks, Buffalo Bills, Baltimore Ravens, and Detroit Lions are all close behind.
So, which team do you think will lift the Lombardi Trophy this season? You can click the banners on this page to check the markets at Kalshi and make your predictions.
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