We’re now 10+ games through the 2026-27 NBA season, so it’s an ideal time to take a look at the best prediction markets apps for updated NBA MVP trades.
The field is dominated by Luka Doncic and Victor Wembanyama. Wemby isn’t a surprise, as he was one of the favorites coming into the season, but Doncic has been a major mover thanks to a phenomenal start to the season.
The biggest question here is, is it worth paying up for Doncic or Wemby? Or can we find value further down the board? Let’s dive in.
Luka Doncic (38 cents) and Victor Wembanyama (36 cents) dominate the top of the board of NBA MVP markets. They are followed by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (11 cents), Jayson Tatum (5 cents), Nikola Jokic (5 cents), Cooper Flagg (3 cents), and Cade Cunningham (2 cents).
It makes sense to see Doncic and Wemby so highly priced, but is it worth it to pay a premium on them? Remember, we can always exit our position early with prediction markets trading. To that end, buying in at rock bottom on a longshot for a potential profit before the market settles looks like the way to go here.
I’m going with Cooper Flagg at three cents at NBA prediction markets. As mentioned above, the plan here is to hope he continues to play at a superstar level, helping the Mavs continue to exceed expectations. If that happens, you’re going to see Flagg’s price jump to 10 cents or even more. That gives you a chance to 3x your initial trade.
Flagg is off to a terrific start this season, averaging 25.9 points, 6.9 rebounds, and 6.9 assists on 50% shooting from the field. The Mavericks have won seven of 11 games to start the season. Coming into the year, Dallas was not expected to be a threat in the Western Conference, so this is definitely surprising.
This is what makes Flagg such an intriguing buy at three cents. He’s stuffing the stat sheet while carrying his team to a playoff spot. There’s a legitimate chance that his price can rise throughout the year, giving us a chance to exit our position and secure a profit. That’s why I’m riding with Flagg here.
Of course, we have to acknowledge what Luka Doncic and Victor Wembanyama are doing. Luka is off to a spectacular start, averaging 39.3 points, 7.9 assists, and 7.8 assists, leading the Lakers to a 10-2 record. Wemby is dominating at both ends of the floor, putting up 30.1 points, 11.9 rebounds, and 3.0 assists.
But we’re so early in the season. Injuries are always a factor. Can we trust both Doncic and Wemby to play 70+ games? Is the probability that this happens high enough to justify paying 38 cents for Doncic and 36 cents for Wemby?
I prefer not to buy in at a peak price, which is why I’ve targeted a longshot like Flagg as my best trade for NBA MVP.
As you would expect, there has been significant market movement for NBA MVP. Back on Oct. 25, Wemby was at 30 cents, while Doncic was at 11 cents. Now, Doncic is the clear frontrunner at 38 cents.
In my mind, you’ve missed the boat if you wanted Doncic at MVP. If you want to buy in now, wait until the Lakers go on a cold streak to see if you can get him at a better price. For comparison, my pick, Cooper Flagg, was at 1 cent as recent as Nov. 10.
If you bought him then, you’ve already 3x’d your initial trade. I still think there’s room to grow with him there, making him worth a look.
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