Awards markets are always good to look at throughout the season, as you can often find value at prediction market apps. With that in mind, let’s dive into NBA Sixth Man of the Year trades.
Right now, Celtics’ Payton Pritchard is leading the way, followed by Trail Blazers’ Jrue Holiday. These two guards are the clear-cut favorites, with Sandro Mamukelashvili and Ayo Dosunmu at third and fourth.
When scanning the board at prediction markets, it’s always a good idea to look for longshots for a chance of a greater return on investment. To that end, let’s take a look to see if anyone fits the bill.
Payton Pritchard (32 cents) and Jrue Holiday (27 cents) are the two favorites to win NBA Sixth Man of the Year. They are followed by Ayo Dosunmu (13 cents), Sandro Mamukelashili (11 cents), and Aaron Wiggins (9 cents).
With the Celtics atop the Eastern Conference and Pritchard averaging 13.3 points per game, it makes sense that he’s leading the way here. But with a volatile market on an award like this, the prudent move is to try to find value further down the board. I’m always looking to exit my position early to secure a profit, so that’s the strategy I’m going with when making this trade.
I’m buying into Jared McCain at five cents to win NBA Sixth Man of the Year. The Thunder guard looks like the best value at NBA prediction markets. McCain has been a major riser on this board, as he was as low as two cents only a couple of weeks ago.
This is a player who is averaging 12.7 points on 31.1% shooting from beyond the arc. Those numbers aren’t too far off from what the favorite, Payton Pritchard, is doing right now. On top of that, McCain is in a position where he’s going to be relied upon more than usual.
That’s because the Thunder are dealing with injuries. Forward Jalen Williams is likely out for the season with a leg injury. This means that McCain will continue to see an uptick in minutes, putting him in a spot to rack up better numbers.
We’ve seen McCain put up 20+ points in two of his last four games, so he’s starting to heat up. Buying into him now makes a lot of sense, since his price can continue to rise as the season progresses. That would give you the option to exit your position early and secure a profit.
One key angle to mention for the favorite, Payton Pritchard, is that he’s already won this award, capturing honors back in 2025. He’s entrenched in the minds of voters as a legit Sixth Man of the Year, as he consistently carries the Celtics’ second unit.
Looking down the board, Sandro Mamukelashvili has been impressive for the Lakers, who are off to a terrific start to the year. He’s putting up 10.8 points on 41.2% shooting from beyond the arc. Jrue Holiday also has rock-solid numbers, including 13.4 points and 3.9 assists.
But as always with awards markets, especially early in the season, I don’t want to buy in at a peak price. I’m looking for value, particularly since there’s so much injury risk. Imagine buying into a favorite only to see them sidelined for a few weeks as you watch your trade go up in smoke.
With that in mind, Jared McCain looks like the best buy for me here.
Awards markets often see the most movement since things can change each game, and that’s exactly the case with Sixth Man of the Year. Back in early October, Pritchard was at 19 cents, but he’s jumped to 32 cents. This speaks to what I was saying earlier: never buy high, as the price can change significantly on a whim. That’s why I’m buying shares of McCain to win Sixth Man of the Year.
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