San Antonio Spurs and Minnesota Timberwolves last went H2H on May 13th, 2026, in Game 5 of the Western Conference Semifinals. The Spurs won 126-97, taking a 3-2 lead in the series.
With the result in, prediction markets are turning to Game 6, where the teams will face off yet again. In this guide, we’re going to take a look at the star players and the predicted winner/total in the context of the previous H2H games. If you’re looking into trading on the outcome at Kalshi, stay tuned right here.
Both the Spurs and Timberwolves have some star players to keep your eye on for the upcoming game, as they could make or break the entire performance. Let’s take a closer look at the key players that could shift the momentum for Game 6 on May 15th, 2026.
The Spurs dominated their previous game, seeing the team defeat the Timberwolves 126-97. This was largely down to Victor’s performance that saw him tally 27 points, 17 rebounds, 5 assists, 3 blocks, and 2x 3-pointers, breaking NBA history by becoming the first player to do this since the 1979-80 season. Wembanyama was the star performer in the game, completely shifting the momentum into the Spurs’ favor, ultimately leading to their win.
Anthony Edwards returned surprisingly early after suffering an ankle injury during their game against the Denver Nuggets. Despite his injury, Edwards remains an offensive engine. He is known for his strong attacks that lead to big scores. Ultimately, his performance on the court has ranked him as one of the top-10 NBA talents.
When De’Aaron Fox last faced the Timberwolves, he managed to pressure their defense, which is all down to his superb shot creation. While Fox has suffered a recent ankle issue, he is still in top form, ranking second behind his co-player Victor Wembanyama. On average, De’Aaron Fox lands 197 points, 4.3 rebounds, and 6.8 assists.
Julius Randle is a versatile forward/point-forward player who is excellent at creating second-chance opportunities. Randle is known for his rebounds and playmaking, making him a key player to look out for ahead of Friday’s game.
Now that you have a better handle on the players to watch, let’s dive into the movements of each market at Kalshi. You may be surprised to find out that there hasn’t been too much movement recently, even following the Spurs’ recent win. The overall winner market has stayed pretty static, offering an average of 63% to 64% chance for the Spurs to win. On the flip side, the chance of the Timberwolves winning has also stayed around 36% to 37%.
Following the Spurs’ win on May 13th, we checked out the market’s movement to find that traders aren’t budging. It appears that the market is backing the Spurs to win and has been even when following the Timberwolves win of 114-109 on May 10th.
Keen to trade on the game winner at Kalshi? Take a look at the current event contracts for both teams, so you can weigh up the chances:
| NBA Team | Chance | Yes Contract | No Contract |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs | 64% | 65¢ | 36¢ |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 36% | 36¢ | 65¢ |
Want a piece of the action to predict the team totals, instead? Here’s an overview of the event contract prices for you to consider:
| Market | Chance | Yes Contract | No Contract |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs to win by over 5.5 points | 49% | 49¢ | 52¢ |
| Over 218.5 points scored | 52% | 52¢ | 50¢ |
| Minnesota Timberwolves to score over 106.5 points | 52% | 55¢ | 51¢ |
| San Antonio Spurs to score over 110.5 points | 55% | 57¢ | 47¢ |
Keep in mind that the chances for the above markets are subject to change, as the probabilities will fluctuate with the market activity. If you want to compare the current state of the market at Kalshi, all you need to do is tap the promotional banners on this page. After opening a new account, you can venture into the NBA prediction markets to buy a contract to reflect your prediction. Don’t forget to look into our Kalshi promo code to get you going.
After weighing up the key players and recent performance, we are behind the Spurs to win Game 6. Not only have the Spurs won 3 out of 5 of the recent H2H games, but the team also has Victor Wmbanyama, who is a phenomenal player. While the Timberwolves have some great players, the recent stats haven’t shone in the same way. With traders at Kalshi getting behind the Spurs to win at 64%, we don’t see this changing any time soon.
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