New Zealand will play Egypt in the fourth Group G match at the Soccer World Cup.
Following a disappointing draw, Egypt are hoping for their first win at a World Cup.
Egypt are predicted to win this match but will face a New Zealand side full of momentum.
Egypt and New Zealand continue their World Cup journey with a crucial second match in Vancouver’s BC Place on Sunday. Both teams have one point on the table, but New Zealand are at the top thanks to goals scored.
At Kalshi, Egypt are the favorites to win, but with the repercussions of this match extending into the next round, we could see end-to-end action and tight defense threatened by daring runs. Egypt especially will be hoping to win following a 1-1 draw against Belgium that put them bottom of the table. Our team shares their top match predictions.
At Kalshi, Egypt are the current frontrunners to win this match, with a probability of 61% compared to New Zealand’s 17%. However, is it as clear-cut as the numbers suggest? The talents of the Egyptian team weren’t sufficient to secure a win in their first game, while the All Whites managed to secure a 2-2 draw against Iran, a team ranked 24th to New Zealand’s 82nd.
Let’s take a closer look at the possible outcomes and how Kalshi members can trade on this match. Kalshi shouldn’t be considered one of our World Cup betting sites as it’s an exchange, not a sportsbook. Members there buy and sell ‘Yes’ or ‘No’ contracts on event outcomes, such as this football match. It’s also possible to purchase trades on other aspects of the game like total goals.
In their opening match against Belgium, the Pharaohs took an early lead with a thumping strike from Emam Ashour. However, the 66th minute saw Belgium equalise when Egypt defender Mohammed Hany unluckily scored an own goal under pressure from Lukaku.
Egypt had several chances denied by the Belgium keeper but don’t have a strong record at the World Cup. Nevertheless, the talents of Salah and his teammates should be sufficient to secure a win.
New Zealand’s Elijah Just and Chris Wood proved a formidable double act in their opener against Iran. They had 14 chances on goal and know that they will have to work hard to overcome the higher-rated Egypt, potentially leading to a goal from both sides.
While we think Egypt will maintain a tightly controlled game against New Zealand, they may be pushing to build up a goal difference that sees them take a more preferential position as we head out of the group stages. Combined with a potential New Zealand goal, we think this could mean the total tips over 2.5.
These are the current picks for all of the markets mentioned at Kalshi. Be aware these are subject to change at any time as we draw closer to kickoff:
| Contract | Implied probability | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Egypt to win outright | 61% | $0.61 | $0.40 |
| New Zealand to win outright | 17% | $0.17 | $0.84 |
| Tie | 24% | $0.24 | $0.77 |
| Both teams to score | 44% | $0.44 | $0.57 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | $0.43 | $0.58 |
Now that you’re fully onboard with our match predictions, you can lock in your trades by visiting Kalshi. Click on any of the banners on this page to go straight there. You can make a single prediction on this match outcome or tie several contracts together; just be sure to check the rules around how these markets are resolved.
Egypt are the stronger team on paper for this match and will likely win. However, we’re not convinced that the Pharaohs will have it all their own way. New Zealand will be highly motivated after pulling ahead of Iran twice in their opening game while Egypt will be working hard to avoid another poor World Cup run. Make your trades on the action by using our links to visit Kalshi now.
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