We’re just two games into the 2026 NFL regular season, and there are already enough narratives to cover an entire week of activity. Drake Maye fell apart in the fourth quarter against the Seahawks in the season opener, while Myles Garrett was a non-factor in the Rams’ shocking 27-7 loss to the 49ers in Melbourne.
So much for flying the team out to the “Land Down Under” just two days before the game began! This Sunday, the action continues at Reliant Stadium as Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills visit C.J. Stroud and the Houston Texans in one of the most evenly split matchups currently available for NFL prediction markets.
For readers who are wondering… we’re not enthusiastic about the Texans’ chances of repeating as a postseason disruptor this year. C.J. Stroud still has a lot to prove despite his early success.
Meanwhile, the NFL’s second-best player (according to NFL Network), Josh Allen, is primed for a championship run. Curiously, Kalshi sports forecasters can buy the Bills’ contracts for just 52¢ with nearly $1 million in total trading volume. We’re jumping all over those contracts!
Running back James Cook is healthy entering the regular season, as is wide receiver Khalil Shakir. That should be plenty to propel the Bills to at least 24 points by the end of the fourth quarter. We like the Bills to win by more than 1.5 points, which means we’re giving up a full point and are still satisfied with our chances.
The Texans are counting on their defense to keep Buffalo’s attack out of the red zone. Defensive end Will Anderson Jr. was quoted this week as calling the Week 1 game an “AFC Championship matchup.” That’s high praise for a team that couldn’t stop Drake Maye and the Patriots in January.
After Maye turned the ball over three times on his team’s final three possessions in New England’s 13-10 loss to Seattle on Wednesday night, the prospects are looking grim for the Patriots to return to AFC prominence. Our AFC postseason picks to start the season include Baltimore, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Denver, Jacksonville, Kansas City, and the Los Angeles Chargers. If Houston squeaks into the playoffs, it will be due to the Jaguars failing to live up to expectations rather than by earning a wild card spot.
Yes, Josh Allen has yet to win a game in Houston (he’s 0-4 lifetime), but that shouldn’t have any impact on the actual Week 1 contest on Sunday afternoon. Look for the Bills to roll in a dominant 27-10 victory.
Houston is not really that close to Buffalo on Kalshi’s AFC Champion market, which leaves one to ponder whether the contract prices for a Buffalo victory on Sunday will surge before kickoff. The Bills at 52¢ are a true bargain, in our view.
This game will be televised Sunday afternoon on CBS, which means live streamers will want to acquire a Paramount+ subscription. A capacity crowd is expected to show up in support of the Texans. Sports fans can sign up for a new Kalshi account and start trading contracts in less than five minutes. Void in Michigan, Nevada, Massachusetts, and Washington.
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