
The Jacksonville Jaguars play their second consecutive game in London this Sunday as they look to maintain a minimum two-game lead over AFC South opponents. After traders who use the best prediction markets went wild last Sunday on a last-second field goal, the Houston Texans are next in line as they desperately seek to remain competitive by upending a division rival.
This will be another “Sunday morning” game for viewers in the United States, who can check out the NFL Network’s full coverage starting at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time. Despite the contrasting regular-season records up to this point, the 4-1 Jaguars are only slight favorites to defeat the 1-4 Texans.
Quarterback Trevor Lawrence is having another solid year for Jacksonville, leading the team with a touchdown-to-interception ratio that’s better than 3-to-1. But it’s the defense and ironman Travis Hunter that are giving opposing offenses fits. In five games, the Jaguars have only allowed 70 points (or 14 points per game), which is second in the entire league behind Minnesota.
The Houston Texans’ defense received a ton of preseason hype, but has yet to perform up to those lofty expectations. Houston has allowed an average of 22.4 points per game and is 0-3 at home, facing an exhausting schedule midway through the regular season.
We’re predicting that the Jacksonville Jaguars will provide value for traders who participate in NFL prediction markets this week. Their 57¢ per-contract price is affordable in our view, as is the margin of victory line that only gives up 2.5 points.
The whirlwind week that resulted in Marvin Harrison Jr. being traded away from the Cardinals has ended with the former Ohio State receiver taking over a coveted wide receiver position alongside Nico Collins for the Houston Texans. Much of the Texans’ relatively high contract price is based on forecasters who are predicting that Harrison Jr. will immediately become successful within Houston’s offensive scheme.
The Jaguars had a number of costly penalties last week that many traders believe “should have” cost them the game. It took a 50-yard kick return and a miraculous final second for Jacksonville to beat the Eagles last Sunday. If the Jaguars’ offensive miscues mount up this Sunday morning against the Texans, the team could find itself at 4-2 on the season. That record could loosen its grip on the AFC South division.
The main probabilities posted on Kalshi aren’t likely to move much between now and Sunday morning, mainly because Marvin Harrison Jr. is such an unknown quantity as part of the Texans’ new offense. Yes, Houston faces another must-win situation in London this weekend, but questions remain about whether its defense can live up to its preseason billing.
If not, the Jaguars will go 5-1 and could open up a three-game lead within the division depending on the outcome of the Titans vs. Colts game later in the day. Traders who want to watch the game live can do so by tuning in to NFL Network. Those on the West Coast will need to be awake by 6:30 a.m. to catch the kickoff.
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