Week 4 of the 2026 NFL regular season starts tomorrow at Huntington Bank Field as the Pittsburgh Steelers take on the Cleveland Browns. Both teams are 2-1 so far this season, in a four-way tie in the AFC North.
NFL prediction markets are listing the Steelers at 58¢ per contract on the eve of the matchup. All the action will be live-streamed for Amazon Prime subscribers in the United States as both teams attempt to wrest control from the other within their division.
For the sake of tradition, we’re giving the edge to the Pittsburgh Steelers. It’s not that the Cleveland Browns haven’t earned their 2-1 record, but more of an acceptance that the Browns have been historically prone to falling apart after strong starts.
Traders who were anticipating a higher contract price on the Steelers will be glad to pick up their “yes” contracts for just 58¢. To buy the Cleveland Browns at 43¢, one has to believe that starting quarterback Deshaun Watson will build upon the solid outings he’s had over the past two weeks.
Sports forecasters who were inclined to choose Pittsburgh for this game ahead of the regular season won’t have any qualms about the -2.5 point spread. We won’t either.
Both starting quarterbacks have gotten off to a decent start during the 2026 regular season. Aaron Rodgers may not be as spry as he was during his stint with the Green Bay Packers, but he can still throw the ball accurately and fool opposing defenses with his patented hard counts.
Deshaun Watson hasn’t thrown an interception since Week 1, and the on-field conditions will be ideal as fans get to watch a meaningful, early-October game just before the cold front hits Cleveland around midnight.
The Browns will be without their starting center, Elgton Jenkins, who will be replaced by former Ohio State Buckeyes offensive lineman Luke Wypler. The starting offensive corps for the Pittsburgh Steelers is healthy all-around, with 42-year-old Aaron Rodgers seeking to lead his team into the postseason under new head coach Mike McCarthy.
The “under” points total would have a lot more momentum if the scheduled kickoff time for this game was four hours later. The weather forecast calls for heavy rain and lower temperatures in the Cleveland area beginning early Friday morning.
However, it may be the “over” points total that wins out and increases in price ahead of tomorrow’s Thursday Night Football broadcast. A final score of 21-20 would easily cover the current fifty-fifty line of 38.5 total points scored.
Sports fans who are new to trading can check out Kalshi’s NFL markets and begin forecasting outcomes in less than five minutes after creating a new account.
Loading …
