The puck drops at 9:30 PM (ET) in the next game between the Anaheim Ducks and the Las Vegas Golden Knights. Neither side were happy with the opening game, when the Golden Knights pulled ahead 3-1.
This game is expected to be a Knights victory but that’s not the end. This is one of seven games in the playoff round two sessions and every goal is pivotal towards the Stanley Cup. In this guide, we’ll take you through the game, including advice on making predictions on spreads, totals and moneylines at prediction sites like Polymarket.
2026 marks the first year that the Ducks have reached the playoffs since 2018, ending an eight-year drought for the Californian team. This run of games against the Las Vegas Golden Knights is the second round of the playoffs. In the first fixture between these two, held on May 4th, the Ducks lost narrowly, by 3-1, including a late goal from Barbashev after a disputed no-call.
Game details
This market opened on May 3rd so there hasn’t been too much time for numbers to change. The Knights have had the upper hand since the beginning but, with numbers sitting at around 65%, this isn’t a definite lock. Let’s take a closer look at how the market views each team’s chances of victory:
With strong defense and a home ice advantage, the Knights are the favorites to win this game, with a 61% chance of winning at Polymarket as we go to press. They won the first game against the Ducks and lead the overall series between the two. They’re also consistent, and have a more solid goalkeeping setup which tends to limit chances.
Nothing rips apart a solid defense like an explosive shooting style, and that’s just what the Ducks can deliver, in the shape of center forward Leo Carlsson. He has created lots of scoring opportunities this season and has contributed to Anaheim claiming a surprise victory from an underdog position in 55.4% of games this season.
As we’ve mentioned, numbers for this game have remained consistent since the market opened. The Knights have the higher chance of victory but it’s not a foregone conclusion. A power play, an injury, or Carlsson feeling extra fiery could all create a Ducks win.
In the regular season, the Ducks defeated the Knights in every one of their three meetings, but every game was tight. Two games went into overtime but every game ended on a 4-3 scoreline. Therefore, we can expect this game to be similarly tight, even if the Knights ultimately win.
In terms of spread predictions, it seems likely that choosing to purchase Yes contracts on a 5.5 or 6.5 total could be a good option. Anaheim has played 59 games this season that ended with a scoreline above 5.5 while 89 of the Knight’s games have ended with a score above 5.5.
Top rated prediction exchange Polymarket is offering a wide choice of markets on this game, including moneyline winner, spreads and totals. Here’s how to purchase your choice of contracts:
In the table below, we’ve gone through the current implied probabilities and prices for each team:
| Prediction | Chance | Buyprice | Sellprice |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anaheim Ducks to win | 40% | $0.40 | $0.39 |
| Las Vegas Golden Knights to win | 61% | $0.61 | $0.60 |
As one of the top, if not the best prediction market site, Polymarket allows members to purchase contracts on additional outcomes for this game, including spreads and totals. Let’s take a look at the projected chances and current prices for more markets:
| Contract | Buy price | Sell price |
|---|---|---|
| Spread – Anaheim +1.5 | $0.63 | $0.62 |
| Spread Las Vegas -1.5 | $0.38 | $0.37 |
| Totals – over 5.5 goals | $0.60 | $0.58 |
| Totals – under 5.5 goals | $0.42 | $0.40 |
One thing we can expect from the Knights versus the Ducks is a close game, with lots of end-to-end action. Vegas are the stronger side on paper and would seem to have the defense needed to repel the Duck’s advances but we’re not counting out the Ducks just yet. If Carlson can build pressure from the start, we might see the underducks take control.
The numbers are close at Polymarket, but this one could be closer than the numbers actually suggest. Click the banners here to go straight to Polymarket and make your choice of available markets.
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