This Saturday night, the No. 2 Notre Dame Fighting Irish will travel to LaVell Edwards Stadium to take on the No. 8 BYU Cougars in Provo, Utah. As premium sideline ticket prices eclipse $10,000, this top-ten matchup is sure to attract millions of dollars in trades from prediction market forecasters before Saturday night’s kickoff.
Traders are expecting the Fighting Irish to go on the road and beat the Cougars of Brigham Young University by more than 10.5 points this weekend. Are the current contract prices justified? Let’s take a look!
It goes without saying that Notre Dame is a huge favorite to win this game, despite the fact that it will be played on BYU’s home field. Those who are predicting that the Fighting Irish will win probably won’t be able to find a contract under 79 cents. The four-to-one odds make an underdog pick possible.
We’re going with BYU at 22¢ per contract not because we think the Cougars will be victorious, but because we believe they would win Saturday’s game more than 22 times out of 100. Having such a wide disparity between the No. 2 and No. 8 teams in college football is a rarity at this point in the season, especially given that both teams are undefeated.
We’re picking the BYU Cougars at any contract price under 25 cents to win. We’re also taking the 10.5 points, which is currently listed as a fifty-fifty market on Kalshi. BYU always manages to keep games close in the fourth quarter, so look for Saturday night’s contest to be a nailbiter.
The BYU Cougars have one extra day to recover after defeating Iowa State, something that has prompted head coach Kalani Sitake to prioritize keeping distractions to a minimum in Provo this week. The team’s only other ranked opponent this year will be Utah on November 7th, so the Cougars could very well need a victory this weekend to secure a spot in the CFP.
Fans for both teams are bringing up Notre Dame’s non-acceptance of an invitation to play against BYU in the Pop-Tarts Bowl late last year. The Fighting Irish were upset at getting snubbed by the CFP despite being nationally ranked among the top 12 teams. This year, Notre Dame has a contractual guarantee that it will qualify for the postseason if it’s ranked among the top 12 teams in the final poll.
Millions of dollars will be poured into this Kalshi market before kickoff, but the percentages should be stable barring any last-minute injury updates. Forecasters who are going with BYU will definitely want to pick up the 22-cent contracts before the game begins, as the Cougars’ per-contract price will go up by more than ten cents if BYU scores first.
ABC will televise this game at LaVell Edwards Stadium. Ticket prices to attend the matchup in person are going for over $10,000 for sideline seats. Individuals who are 18+ and located in the United States can start trading on sports prediction markets by signing up for a new account with Kalshi.
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