The 99th Academy Awards may be more than four months away, but that hasn’t stopped the year’s top films from making a market on the top prediction market apps. Since July, Christopher Nolan’s interpretation of The Odyssey has contributed heavily to Kalshi’s $11.3 million market for the motion picture that will win the Oscars’ most coveted award.
Yet an October 2026 documentary is currently listed at second place and was listed as high as 32¢ per contract just a few weeks ago. The price for You Can See Everything has dipped significantly since its release, but the film is still trading for 17¢ on the country’s most prominent prediction market platform.
The July 2026 sensation wooed box office critics and has become the all-time highest grossing R-Rated motion picture in history. Ticket sales over the last five months have eclipsed $1.8 billion worldwide, with IMAX theatres still sold out as aficionados flock to rewatch the saga at full scale.
The 59¢ per-contract price for The Odyssey to come out on top when the “Best Picture” award is announced on stage at the Dolby Theatre on March 14th may cause some traders to shy away. But Christopher Nolan’s masterpiece is technically ahead of its time. The viewing experience for individuals lucky enough to secure seats in a true IMAX theater is beyond anything that has ever been witnessed.
The Odyssey is still our pick for the “Best Picture” award that will be announced in Hollywood next March. Its positive impact on the movie industry will reverberate for years to come.
The case for why “You Can See Everything” should be considered for the Oscars’ “Best Picture” award is just as complicated as the main protagonist herself. Traditionally, documentaries are relegated to inferior prizes during the ceremonial showcase.
Elizabeth Holmes’ sardines and gumdrops personality dominates the three-hour film as she pleads her innocence and touts Theranos’ claims ahead of her prison sentence. However, there is a “Best Documentary Feature” category that more aptly suits how the film should be categorized.
Traders who are unconvinced of our arguments against You Can See Everything have an opportunity to purchase the film’s contracts at the low price of 17¢. We would consider that to be a very reasonable prediction market price if the movie weren’t going up against such strong competition.
This movie won’t release until December 18th, giving it precious little time to convince movie-goers that it should be a serious candidate for Best Picture. With that said, it has already generated $125 million in advanced ticket sales.
For better or for worse, the “superhero” trope typically gets shunned for the Academy Awards’ most prestigious honor. The “Visual Effects” and “Sound” categories are usually where this genre of films finds a home. Stay away from “Avengers: Doomsday” in the Best Picture market, in our opinion.
Kalshi markets on The 99th Academy Awards can be accessed by forecasters who are at least 18 years old and located in the United States.
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