UFC 330 arrives at Philadelphia’s Xfinity Mobile Arena tomorrow night for a welterweight fight that is expected to pack the seats with nearly 20,000 fans.
Russia’s Islam Makhachev will take on Ireland’s Ian Machado Garry in a 5-round contest that already sent trading volume on prediction markets apps soaring to seven figures. The Kalshi “winner” market alone is right at $2.5 million, with traders firmly forecasting that Makhachev will extend his historic 16-fight win streak tomorrow night.
Winning 16 consecutive UFC fights is an extremely rare feat. Islam Makhachev has done just that, and looks to defend his UFC welterweight title that he recently captured from Jack Della Maddalena. In fact, only one other high-profile UFC fighter has won 16 straight fights: Anderson Silva.
If Makhachev can successfully close the distance and negate Garry’s reach, tomorrow night’s main event in Philadelphia could be settled before the fifth round ends. Ian Machado Garry has significant youth and reach advantages over his opponent, but those won’t be of any use if Garry is spending the vast majority of his time being suffocated by the naturally larger Makhachev.
We’re picking up contracts on Islam Makhachev to end this fight within four rounds. Once he does so, his path to a historic legacy will be cemented and he can announce his retirement from the sport. Makhachev is listed at 76¢ per contract to win.
Sparks flew at the UFC 330 press conference when Makhachev told Ian Machado Garry to “shut up” when the discussion moved to Makhachev’s late coach and mentor. With that said, the main news items for tomorrow night’s UFC 330 card revolve around anticipated attendance and Makhachev’s fighting style.
Xfinity Mobile Arena is expected to host 19,500 ticketed fans, which will create a raucous environment for all fighters to compete in as they fight in the Octagon. Floor seating ranges from $5,000 all the way up to $17,000 on outlets like Ticketmaster, with VIP packages reportedly going for six figures ahead of the event.
Most MMA fans simply don’t give Garry much of a chance against Makhachev tomorrow night. The momentum that the Russian fighter has due to his 16-fight winning streak is too much for Garry’s lighter frame to overcome, even if the Irish combatant has better reach.
Islam Makhachev’s price to win the UFC 330 Main Event has hovered around 76¢ per contract for days, so don’t expect the winner market on Kalshi to move much despite the massive trading volume.
However, the “method of victory” market is more volatile. A Makhachev win by “submission” is priced at 31¢ per contract, down three cents from where it was 24 hours ago. MMA fans who want to watch the entire UFC 330 card, including the main event, will need a Paramount+ premium subscription.
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