How NFL Odds Have Shifted After Week 1: Social Betting Breakdown

Paul Skidmore
Published: Tue Sep 16 2025
Reviewed By Vinolin Naidoo
NFL Odds Shifted After Week 1 Betting Breakdown
Key Points
  • As we head into Week 2 of the season, NFL odds have shifted at social sportsbooks.

  • Several teams, including the Chiefs, suffered defeats in Week 1 causing drifting odds.

  • The NFL Week 2 schedule features exciting games including the Chiefs v the Eagles.

Although Week 1 of the NFL season saw business as usual for many of the top teams, there were some surprising results. The Bills came from behind to beat the Ravens, and Super Bowl finalists the Chiefs lost against the Chargers.

How do these results impact NFL odds at social sportsbooks? While it’s still too early to tell for many teams, we’ve seen a subtle shift in odds for key sides. As we head into Week 2, we’ll explore how these shifts might affect how you bet on games like the Chiefs v the Eagles, or the Bills v the Jets.

Pre season predictions – who will triumph at Super Bowl XL?

Before the new NFL season started, several teams were hailed as favorites to lift the Vince Lombardi Trophy. They included last year’s winners, the Philadelphia Eagles, as well as runners-up the Kansas City Chiefs. The Baltimore Ravens and the Buffalo Bills were also hotly tipped.

Fast forward to Week 1 and the Chiefs and Ravens both lost their first game. In fact, the Ravens lost to the Buffalo Bills in a thrilling encounter with a one point score line difference of 41-40 for the Bills.

Week 1 results – triumphs and disasters in the season openers

With Week 1 fixtures throwing up some unexpected results, we’ve seen some major odds shifts at social sportsbooks:

Kansas City Chiefs v Los Angeles Chargers – Chargers win 27-21

The Chargers managed to achieve a shock win over the Chiefs in their opening game, securing victory 27-21. The Chiefs opened as 2.5-3 point favorites and had a -18% projection to be the number one seeding in the AFC. That’s now dropped to 7.5%.

It’s too early to fade the Chiefs but a strong second round game is essential to keep them in contention.

Miami Dolphins v Indianapolis Colts – Colts win 33-8

The Dolphins began this season as slight underdogs but suffered a heavy 33-8 defeat against the Colts. This was sufficient to call for a player meeting and has caused a sharp swing downwards in Dolphin odds.

Green Bay Packers v Detroit Lions – Packers win 27-13

Initially, the Lions were favorites to win this game but the Packer’s acquisition of Micah Parsons caused a mega shift in public perception and numbers. By the starting whistle, the Packers had become 2.5 underdogs, a prediction that proved to be correct when the Packers triumphed 27-13.

On Friday, the Packers managed to cement this victory by winning 27-18 over the Commanders, giving them the ideal 2-0 start to the season.

Chicago Bears v Minnesota Vikings – Vikings win 27-24

Again, the Bears began their journey this season as underdogs but closed as -1.5 favorites. This was prompted by a sharp upturn in public backing suggesting that there’s a lot of confidence in the Bears to go the distance this year. However, they ended the game in second place following a fourth quarter resurgence from the Vikings.

Where to bet on the NFL this season

Top picks for NFL Week 2 – Super Bowl rerun and an NY face off

If you’re a little breathless after Week 1, we hear you, it’s been an action-packed week! Looking ahead to Week 2, we’ve selected some of the top games you might want to consider betting on:

Kansas City Chiefs v Philadelphia Eagles – Sunday 14 September

The Chiefs take on the Eagles in a rematch of last year’s Super Bowl. The Chiefs are coming from a Week 1 loss and are facing internal issues due to injury and Rashee Rice’s suspension.

The Eagles are slight favorites, at -1.5 currently, but the Chiefs will have the home field advantage. Plus, it’s unlikely that star QB Patrick Mahomes will let his team go 0-2. Whatever happens, the outcome of this match could be crucial to how the odds for the rest of the season pan out.

Buffalo Bills v New York Jets – Sunday 14 September

Key player Ed Oliver has now officially been ruled out of the Bill’s next game. Both sides are also facing injury issues following Week 1 games, potentially limiting the depth of each lineup.

The Bills opened as -6.5 favorites but these odds have been adjusted following injury news to -6. Going by Week 1, this looks set to be a high scoring game, and the over/ under is set between 46 and 47.5 points. Josh Allen (current NFL MVP) was the standout star of the Bill’s opener, leading to a popular prop pick of passing yards above 231.5.

Las Vegas Raiders v Los Angeles Chargers – Tuesday 16 September

This game is heavy on storyline interest as head coaches Jim Harbaugh and Pete Carroll face another twist in their ongoing rivalry. The Chargers had a decisive victory over the Chiefs and are favored in this game by 3-3.5 points. Looking ahead, they’re also now the projected winners of the AFC West.

Top social sportsbooks for your NFL action

If you’re looking for a social betting site for your Week 2 NFL picks right now, you can head to the social sportsbooks linked on this page.

As there’s no real money involved at these sites, all bets are placed using virtual currencies. Social sportsbooks are legal under US law and widely available. So, even if real money sports betting isn’t an option where you live, you might still be able to make picks on NFL games. Check out our reviews for more information on each site.

Conclusion – Week 2 NFL action goes live

While the early results are important, they’re not necessarily characteristic of a team’s whole season performance. It’s probably a bit early to predict the outcome of Super Bowl LX but hey, it’s never too early to lock in a futures pick at one of our top social sportsbooks.

If you’re sticking to making your predictions for the coming week, there are many good options including the Chiefs as a possible underdog selection. Consult more of our guides for detailed picks on all of the games coming up in Week 2.

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