Best NFL Player Props for Week 18: Final Week Betting Guide
Betting on NFL player props in the final week of the regular season comes with a few additional challenges than the typical week.
Meaningless games often extract lackluster effort from the participants. Every game is not meaningless, however, and some players in those games will still put their best foot forward.
Who are those players? We’ll try to identify a few of them in our ‘Best NFL Player Props’ list for Week 18 of the NFL’s regular season.
Aaron Rodgers, OVER 20.5 Completions at -114 (FanDuel)
Rodgers has completed OVER this mark in his last four games, including a win over the Ravens in Week 14 (23-34 for 284 yards and a touchdown). Baltimore’s defense has struggled against the pass all season. The Ravens are No. 28 in 20-plus yard completions allowed (23); No. 30 in yards allowed).
Audric Estime, OVER 41.5 Rushing Yards at -119 (BetMGM)
Estime got his first career start last week and had a respectable 94-yard day. With Alvin Kamara still idle he’ll get the start once again with a chance to prove he deserves a spot on someone’s roster (if not the Saints) next season.
Hunter Henry, OVER 4.5 Receptions at +110 (FanDuel)
Hunter Henry needs five receptions to reach 60 and a $250,000 contract incentive. Even if Maye gets pulled at some point during the game, Henry will likely finish the game and should have a great chance of making 5+ catches against a Miami defense that has struggled against tight ends this year.
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J.J. McCarthy, UNDER .5 Interceptions at +100 (bet365)
McCarthy has thrown at least one interception in eight of nine starts, but the Packers' defense has had just seven interceptions this season, good for the fifth fewest in the league. Unless McCarthy gift wraps one for them, don’t bank on the Packers picking him off.
Joe Burrow, OVER 1.5 Passing Touchdowns at -188 (FanDuel) + Shedeur Sanders, OVER .5 Passing Touchdowns at -250 (FanDuel)
SGP Odds: +111
If there is one thing we know about Joe Burrow, it’s that he will bring his ‘A’ game every time he steps onto a field. Since getting back into the lineup, he has thrown 2+ touchdowns in four of five games. He’ll be looking to give the fans one more show.
As for Sanders, Cincinnati’s defense has averaged almost two passing touchdowns allowed per game. He’s had seven passing touchdowns this season and at least one in five of his six starts.
Trey Lance, OVER 162.5 Passing Yards at -114 (FanDuel)
The Chargers are resting many players, but the Broncos are not expected to. While the Denver defense has a solid reputation, it has given up 200+ yards in 11 of 16 games this season. Lance is not a superstar, but he’s a rare backup who is familiar with his team’s offense.
He may not have a great game, but he’ll go OVER this paltry passing TOTAL.
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Riley Leonard, UNDER 174.5 Passing Yards at -139 (BetMGM)
Leonard was not much of a passer in college and is unlikely to have much of a day in his first start against the best defense in the NFL that will be trying to win the AFC South. It’s surprising his TOTAL can be found this high for this game.
Chris Oladokun, UNDER 143.5 Passing Yards at -112 (DraftKings)
The Raiders are a mess on offense, but their defense doesn’t stink. Kansas City has been struggling on offense since losing QB1 and QB2. They tried to open up the offense a little more for Oladokun last week, and he threw for 111 yards against a dreadful Titan defense.
It’s unlikely they will have him throw a lot in this game.
Tony Pollard, UNDER 70.5 Rushing Yards at -115 (BetRivers)
The Jaguars' defense has led the way for their surge down the stretch and hasn’t let a single running back go for more than 75 yards in a game; Pollard had 60 last time. Since Jacksonville needs to win to lock up the AFC South, the defense will not give Pollard much room to run.
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