Florida Gators
1. Joakim Noah has a MILF. To oversimplify, there are three types of hot college sports groupie. There are The TV Fame-Whores (ex. J. Sterger). There are The Celebrities. (ex. A. Judd) And then there is that rarest (and loveliest) of sightings: The MILF. Last March, Joakim Noah's mom, Cecilia Rodhe, dropped on an unsuspecting Madness-watching nation as suddenly has her son. (Three words: "Former Miss Sweden.") This year, Mom — like Son — won't sneak up on anyone. If you're looking for a fun Tournament-watching drinking game, try sipping every time the camera cuts to her in the stands. It's a toast to moms!
2. You Know Me, Al. Of Florida's "Big Four" juniors that everyone talks about, the best Gator NBA prospect is ... Al Horford. Just ask Dickie V, who a few weeks ago inadvertently let it slip that Florida coach Billy Donovan (allegedly) told him that Horford was a better NBA prospect than Joakim Noah. But I'd argue: Perhaps not just Noah. Let's face it: Greg Oden, once you see him, is softer than you thought he would be. (On one good leg, Horford dominated Oden when the Gators thumped the Buckeyes by 26 in December.) And Kevin Durant, while oozing the Holy Trinity of "length," "upside" and "Simmons-love," is still one selfish shoot-first teammate away from being the next Rashard Lewis rather than the next Dirk Nowitzki. Given Horford's size, speed and versatility (watch him grab a defensive rebound, then lead the fast break with the dribble), he is the most NBA-ready player not just on this Gators team, but arguably in ALL of college basketball — a more athletic Elton Brand. Horford is not a screamer or sexy, but double-doubles rarely are. His presence is the reason Noah becomes a vastly tougher matchup, and Horford provides the Gators with unmatched depth in the post, freeing up the team's 3-point shooters.
3. Repeat After Me. The return of Florida's entire starting five from last year's title team (plus the top reserve from both the frontcourt and backcourt) has created the expectation that this could be the first team to repeat as champs since Duke in '91-92. But the last title team to return all five starters was Arizona in 1998. That 1-seeded Wildcats team got out of the first weekend with two wins by an average margin of 36 ppg. All seemed clear. But then, in the regional final, they were shocked and awed by Utah (by 25!) Why will Florida avoid Arizona's fate? That Arizona team was guard-heavy, dependent on outside shooting (6-for-36 FG shooting in the loss to Utah) and, backcourt neutralized, unable to match the Utes' advantages inside. However, just as in last year's run, there isn't a team in the field that can match the Gators' size and depth advantages in the frontcourt (in addition to solid — if not spectacular — guard-play that is presumed to be a prerequisite for title contention). It's tougher to neutralize interior size than outside shooting. To wit: Look to Florida's three ugly late-season losses at Vandy, at LSU and at Tennessee for the template of how to KO the Gators: The common factors in all three losses? Cold outside shooting by the Gators (27 percent 3-pt), hot shooting by their opponents (56 percent FG) and Florida's brutally slow starts. — Dan Shanoff
Related
Can the Brewers Beat the Dodgers After Adding Tarik Skubal?
WNBA Best Bets: Three Picks to Consider on Tuesday’s Slate
5 Fights To Make After UFC Fight Night Gamrot vs. Salkilld
Ranking the NBA’s Christmas Day Games From Worst to Best
Ben Simmons Doesn't Deserve One More Chance in the NBA
Chad Tracy Should Be a Lock for AL Manager of the Year
- Orioles vs. Twins Prediction, Odds and Best Bet for Monday
- UFC Vegas 120 Odds, Picks and Predictions: Best Bets for Saturday
- WNBA Best Bets: Three Picks for Friday's Slate
- Panthers vs. Cardinals Best Bets: 3 Picks for the Hall of Fame Game
- MLB Best Bets Today: White Sox vs. Red Sox and Twins vs. Royals Picks
- Mets vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds and Best Bets for Tuesday
- 3 MLB Futures Bets to Make After the Trade Deadline

