NBA Picks Today: Best Bets for Mavericks-Cavaliers, Nets-Grizzlies
Mar 15, 2026; Cleveland, Ohio, USA; Dallas Mavericks forward Cooper Flagg (32) shoots over the defense of Cleveland Cavaliers center Evan Mobley (4) during the first half at Rocket Arena. Mandatory Credit: Ken Blaze-Imagn Images Five NBA teams are playing with no rest tonight, including four of them at home.
The Miami Heat took care of the Cleveland Cavaliers last night, as the Heat welcome in the Detroit Pistons this evening. Detroit seeks its third straight win, while blowing out Miami earlier this season on the road.
Elsewhere, New Orleans tries to fix its awful defense after allowing at least 138 points in four consecutive games. The Pelicans host the Denver Nuggets tonight, who have won three of its past four games.
We’ll break down two plays for the Saturday action. Remember to monitor the odds throughout the day, as the props, sides, and totals market are constantly changing.
Here are the free NBA picks for Saturday, November 14.
Best NBA plays today
- Mavericks (+1.5) at Cavaliers
- Grizzlies (-4.5) vs. Nets
Mavericks (+1.5) at Cavaliers
Dallas (7-5) looks to avoid consecutive losses for the second time this season, coming off a 133-94 defeat at Minnesota. The Mavs were held below 100 points for the first time under head coach Dusty May, while Dallas shot 27% from 3-point range.
That number shouldn’t be surprising considering Minnesota leads the league in defensive 3-point percentage (31.5%). Now, the Mavs face a Cleveland (6-7) squad that ranks 17th in that category at 35.5%.
The Cavs are back home following last night’s loss at Miami, as Cleveland is 0-2 this season with no rest, losing to Atlanta and New York.
Cleveland owns a 2-4 against the spread mark in the favorite role, while the over has hit in four of those games.
The Mavericks are averaging 114.2 PPG in four games off a loss, while star Cooper Flagg looks to rebound after getting held to a season-low 12 points at Minnesota. Dallas is also allowing 31.6% shooting from 3-point range on the road, ranking sixth in the NBA.
Let’s back Dallas as a short underdog to bounce back at Cleveland.
Grizzlies (-4.5) vs. Nets
Memphis (8-4) returns home following a 142-111 rout of New Orleans last night, looking to snap a four-game slide at FedEx Forum. Both the Grizzlies and Nets (3-8) are coming off blowouts of the Pelicans, as Brooklyn dropped 145 points on New Orleans three nights ago.
Brooklyn goes from facing the 29th-ranked 3-point defense in New Orleans to the league’s top-ranked squad in defending the 3-pointer (29.3%).
Memphis allowed 128 points to Oklahoma City and 123 points to Denver in its past two home losses, while both opponents averaged over 40% shooting from deep. The Grizzlies shot 40% from downtown against the Pelicans and hit a season-high 36 free throws.
The Nets have yet to win consecutive games this season, while all three victories came against teams with a winning percentage of 40% or lower. Memphis has lost twice as a home favorite, but this is a good opportunity to end its home slide against Brooklyn.
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