Thunder vs. Spurs Game 4 Picks: Best Bets for WCF Sunday

Oklahoma City Thunder star Shai Gilgeous-Alexander can steer the defending champions to a commander 3-1 series lead in Game 4 of the Western Conference finals on Sunday night.

SGA was clutch in Friday’s 123-108 win over the Spurs in Game 3 of the Western Conference finals and has left San Antonio confounded over possible solutions to slow him down.

If they send a double team, SGA has consistently found open shooters and points.

With Ajay Mitchell out of the lineup again, he'll have the ball in his hands constantly. Can the Spurs adjust or is this series all but over?

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 7+ assists (-120)

Gilgeous-Alexander has 33 assists with just seven turnovers and he's getting more out of players the Spurs aren't necessarily afraid of. Oklahoma City’s bench has outscored San Antonio’s 183-64, with Alex Caruso averaging 21 points and Jared McCain 14.3.

De'Aaron Fox played in Game 3 Friday and Spurs coach Mitch Johnson said Saturday he expected Dylan Harper to play Game 4. But if neither is full strength, the Thunder will find and expose their weaknesses.

Oklahoma City continues to thrive with the ball in SGA's hands.

Over 218.5 total points

The over remains a market lean. DraftKings stuck at 218.5 while FanDuel has vascilllated between 218.5 and 219.5. We like the number anywhere under 220.

All three games in the series have finished above that range despite stretches of uneven shooting. If the pace stays elevated and Oklahoma City’s bench keeps creating transition chances, the total will stay in focus.

Oklahoma City Thunder +2.5

Books are giving the Spurs the edge in San Antonio. The line remains tight enough to watch pregame.

Oklahoma City has won the last two games, owned the bench-production battle and a healthy De’Aaron Fox or Dylan Harper could quickly shift the advantage. But the Thunder proved last postseason the road isn't a place they fear.