UFC 334 Betting Splits: Where the Sharp Money Is Landing This Weekend

Garrett KermanGarrett Kerman|published:
Apr 11, 2026; Miami, Florida, UNITED STATES; Kevin Holland (red gloves) reacts after the fight against Randy Brown (blue gloves) during UFC 327 at Kaseya Center. Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-Imagn ImagesApr 11, 2026; Miami, Florida, UNITED STATES; Kevin Holland (red gloves) reacts after the fight against Randy Brown (blue gloves) during UFC 327 at Kaseya Center. Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-Imagn Images

Luis Gurule and Kevin Holland are the biggest sharp-money signals on UFC 334, and both are underdogs. Both draw most of the dollars while the public tickets sit on their opponents. In the betting splits for UFC 334, handle is the share of dollars wagered and bets is the share of tickets. When a fighter's handle share far exceeds their bet share, larger wagers are likely behind them. That suggests possible professional interest, though splits can't identify who placed the bets.

Gurule and Holland Lead the Board

Luis Gurule (+750) has 76% of the handle on just 23% of the bets against Bilal Hasan (-1200). That 53-point gap is the widest on the card. Hasan has 77% of tickets but only 24% of the money. Dollar support this heavy on a +750 underdog stands out.

Kevin Holland (+136) is close behind. He has 85% of the handle on 38% of bets against Uros Medic (-162), a 47-point gap. Medic holds 62% of tickets but just 15% of the dollars. Holland's gap is smaller than Gurule's, but his price is far shorter, so the money is backing a more live underdog.


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The Main Event Money

The late-card fights show the same pattern. Josh Hokit (+170) has 89% of the handle on 57% of bets against Ciryl Gane (-205), a 32-point gap. Gane has 43% of tickets but only 11% of the money.

Amanda Nunes (+145) has 79% of the handle on 57% of bets against Kayla Harrison (-175), a 22-point gap. Harrison has 43% of tickets but just 21% of the dollars. Both gaps are smaller than Gurule's and Holland's. Still, an underdog holding a majority of both handle and bets in two of the three biggest fights is a notable pattern.

Other Undercard Underdogs

Several more underdogs show solid gaps:

Evan Elder (+100): 71% of the handle on 44% of bets against Samuel Sanches, a 27-point gap.

Drew Dober (+154): 74% of the handle on 51% of bets against Chris Duncan, a 23-point gap.

Jared Gordon (+310): 19% of the handle on 6% of bets against Melquizael Costa, a 13-point gap. He is still well short of a handle majority.

Donte Johnson is the one favorite with a notable signal. At -175, he has 92% of the handle on 73% of bets against Cesar Almeida, a 19-point gap.

Where Public and Money Agree

Several fights show little separation, so there's no clear sharp edge. Juan Diaz (-395) has 96% of the handle and 95% of bets. Caio Borralho (-155) has 79% and 76%. Stephen Thompson (-148) has 55% and 58%. Jim Miller (+180) has 32% of the handle on 25% of bets, a seven-point gap that is too small to count as sharp.

For bettors following the money into UFC 334, Gurule and Holland are the headline plays. Hokit, Elder, Dober and Nunes make up the next tier. Check whether the prices move toward these sides before fight night.


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