Why Marathoners (Especially Men) Are "Irrational" Runners
If you're going to sacrifice your body to run 26.2 miles all at once, shouldn't you at least run them as best you can? Eric Allen (USC) and Patricia Dechow (Berkeley) took a look at finishing times for 300,000 Chicago Marathon runners from 2003 to 2011, concluding, in the style of all behavioral economics papers, that marathons are just another thing that human beings don't do optimally.
If everyone tried to run his or her best race, the researchers argue, you'd expect to see a relatively smooth distribution of finish times across the large population of marathon runners. As you can see in the chart above—which shows finish time by minute—this is not the case. Instead of running their best race, marathoners seem to care more about hitting key round number targets.
The real fun comes in the gender breakdown though. Below are charts showing finish times (now in five-minute increments) for men and women, statistically significant "bunching" times are shown in black.
Men:
Women:
The women aren't immune to bunching (there's clearly an impetus to finish in under five hours), but they can't touch the spikes that male finishers have around 3:30, 4:00, and 4:30. You can almost picture the thousands and thousands of sweaty, semi-fit dudes fighting their way across the finish line at 3:59, and then refusing to talk about anything else for the next year.
[ Social Science Research Network, via WSJ]
WNBA Best Bets for Monday: Aces, Storm and Mercury Picks
Regrading 10 of the Biggest MLB Trades From Last Year
Uros Medic’s 30-Second KO Puts UFC Welterweights on Notice
Sunday MLB Best Bets: Back Zack Wheeler and Shohei Ohtani
Dan Lanning Has Oregon on the Verge of Something Special
- Saturday MLB Best Bets: Marlins vs. Mets, Yankees vs. Cubs Picks
- UFC Belgrade Picks: Best Bets for UFC’s First Event in Serbia
- White Sox vs. Rays Picks: Best Bets for Friday’s MLB Showdown
- WNBA Picks: Three Best Bets for Friday’s Fever, Wings and Storm Games
- Orioles vs. Tigers Bet Picks: Best Predictions for Tuesday July 28
- WNBA Picks Tuesday: Best Bets for Lynx, Fever and Aces
- Guardians vs. Reds Monday Prediction: Best Bets for the Battle of Ohio

