WNBA Best Bets Today: Wings vs. Liberty, Sky vs. Mercury Picks for Tuesday

Two games take place on the Tuesday WNBA slate pitting Eastern Conference teams against foes from the Western Conference.

The New York Liberty (13-8) seek their third consecutive victory as they host the Dallas Wings (13-8) at Barclays Center in Brooklyn.

Later on, the Phoenix Mercury look for their four straight win, welcoming in the struggling Chicago Sky (6-14) at 10:00 p.m. ET.

We’ll break down two plays for the Tuesday action. Remember to monitor the odds throughout the day, as the sides and totals market is constantly changing.

Here are the free WNBA picks for Tuesday, July 7.

Best WNBA plays today - Odds Courtesy of DraftKings

Wings (+4.5) at Liberty

Sky/Mercury Under 175.5 Points

Wings (+4.5) at Liberty - 8:00 p.m. ET

The Liberty are off a pair of victories over teams they faced in the WNBA Finals in 2023 (Aces) and 2024 (Lynx). New York held off Las Vegas last Tuesday, 93-85 in the Commissioner’s Cup, although the Aces were without league MVP A’ja Wilson due to injury.

Last Friday, the Liberty took care of the Lynx as short home underdogs, 99-86 to improve to 8-4 at home. However, one of the four home defeats came to Dallas on May 24, a 91-76 setback to the Wings as 6.5-point favorites.

The Wings have covered four consecutive matchups with the Liberty since last season, while ending a six-game against the spread slide in Sunday’s 89-76 triumph at Toronto as 6.5-point favorites.

Dallas has shot better on the road (47.1% from field) than at home (44.4%), while New York is shooting 44.4% at home, compared to 48.5% away from Barclays Center. Let’s grab the points with the Wings to cover again at New York.

Sky/Mercury Under 175.5 Points - 10:00 p.m. ET

Both these teams are outside playoff contention as they meet in Phoenix tonight. In the first matchup on May 16, the Mercury held off the Sky, 91-83 to go Over the total of 166.5. A huge contributing factor to the Over was Phoenix hitting 37-of-41 free throws, while shooting 39% from the floor.

Tonight’s total is nine points higher as Chicago has drilled the Over in six of the past seven games. This total is actually the third-highest in this span, coming off totals of 181.5 and 179.5 in the past two losses to Las Vegas.

However, the Sky own the second-lowest defensive 3-point percentage (30.8%) in the league, while Phoenix sits 10th in 3-point shooting (32.9%). Chicago has converted at least 45% of its field goal attempts once in the last nine road outings. Let’s go with the Under in this matchup between the Sky and Mercury.