World Series MVP Picks: Top Value Betting Bets Remaining

Well this is it, one or two games left.

My heart hopes the Blue Jays win, but my mind says it's not quite over yet. Anyways, here are a couple ways to play that.

Season Record: 28-29-2, -4.31 Units

½ Unit Yoshinobu Yamamoto World Series MVP (+1300 BetMGM)

The WS winner market looks very fairly priced at Dodgers +200. If LA has a roughly 60% chance to win tonight, and the same tomorrow, that equates to them having a 36% chance of winning the series. The Dodgers get +200, so not much edge there.

Yamamoto pitches tonight, and it's not a stretch to say the Dodgers need a big game from him in order to live another day. Obviously that’s not the only way. Maybe we see a shootout? The market does not expect that of course as we have a total of 7.5.

And based on Yamamoto’s props, he’s expected to go 6+ innings and allow 2 runs, 4 hits, 1.5 walks with 6.25 K’s. Well, let’s say he exceeds that line a bit. Throw in that Yamamoto already has a complete game 1 run, 4 hit, 8 K gem on his ledger and that's a pretty powerful MVP case.

It's tough for a pitcher to win the Series MVP as it usually goes to the best hitter on the winning team. There are still two games to go, but through 5 games, only 1 Dodger bat has made anything resembling an MVP case (more on him in a sec).

Only 1 SP has won the award in the last decade. That was Stephen Strasburg in 2019, with 2 wins, 4 ER and 14 K over 14 innings. Yamamoto has an excellent chance to best that line.

½ Unit Shohei Ohtani World Series MVP (+230 DraftKings)

This is really just a partial hedge on the Yamamoto prop within the overall premise of playing a Dodgers comeback.

Ohtani had perhaps the most insane World Series batting game ever in Game 3 — a mere 4-4 with 2 doubles, 2 homers and 5 walks in the 18-inning classic. But he has done relatively little in the other 4 games as he’s gone just 2-15 with a homer, 2 runs and 2 RBI’s. He also did not pitch exceptionally well in Game 4, yielding 4 earned runs in a 6 IP loss.

An Ohtani ticket is really a play on his bat carrying LA to a comeback. No other Dodger hitter has done much of anything in the series this far. Freddie Freeman had the walkoff bomb in Game 3, but really nothing else. Teoscar Hernandez has their only other homer.

There’s also the wild card that Shohei could pitch in Game 7. They almost certainly can’t use him in relief. The “Ohtani Rule” that lets him remain in the game as DH when he pitches only applies to starters.

If he enters as a reliever, he’d have to exit as a batter when he stops pitching. Logistically it might not work either since he’d have to warm up his arm mid-game.

But what if he opens on Game 7? It would be 3 days rest from Tuesday, so he could probably go at least a few innings and hand the ball to the “bulk” reliever Tyler Glasnow. That really helps solve the Dodgers’ disaster of a bullpen as well.