Yankees Are Proving They're World Series Favorites Even Without Aaron Judge

It's not new information that the New York Yankees are the best team in the American League. They've been No. 1 or No. 2 virtually all season, depending on how the Tampa Bay Rays have performed at any given time.

What is new: the Yankees are showing they're good enough to win the World Series. They're legit, because they're making a big push without the best player in the league, Aaron Judge.

The Yankees have gone 9-4 without Judge since June started. Earlier this season, Judge made a dive in the outfield and aggravated a rib injury, something he's been dealing with in some form for a much longer time. Against the Guardians, Red Sox, Blue Jays and the White Sox, they haven't missed a beat.

Per Baseball Reference, they've scored 5.77 runs per game without him, opposed to averaging 5.17 runs in the first 59 games when Judge played. It's only 13 games, but the lineup has come through with a collective slash line of .262/.332/.470, which includes 23 home runs, 49 walks and 15 stolen bases in that span.

Ben Rice is an MVP candidate. Cody Bellinger is having one of his best individual seasons. Paul Goldschmidt, at 38 years old, is slugging like a 34-year-old Goldy, when he won NL MVP with the Cardinals.

In recent years when Judge has been absent, the Yankees haven't held their own nearly as well. Since the 2020 season, the Yanks have gone 57-64 when Judge missed a game. They had a .583 winning percentage when he played in the same span. It's reasonable to expect the Yankees to be weaker without the best hitter of his generation, but this season’s team still might be the best in the AL even with Judge not playing.

It's only the middle of June but, absent any more significant injuries, the Yankees are going to hold their own against a weak American League. The bigger picture looks much brighter. Judge is hoping to return in August, and if he plays like himself, with this mix of teammates, the Yankees will compete for their 28th franchise championship.

Right-hander Cam Schlittler is a leading candidate for AL Cy Young. Gerrit Cole looks renewed after recovering from Tommy John surgery. Left-hander Max Fried, while on the IL right now because of a bone bruise on his left elbow, is still Max Fried. Carlos Rodón has been strong in seven starts since getting healthy.

New York's starting pitching, plus a lineup with a healthy Judge, can win it all.

It's hard to imagine the Yankees failing earlier than the Fall Classic. Only three teams on the AL side have a positive run differential. Only five teams have a winning record. The White Sox looked like maybe they could put together a historical upset run, but the Yankees have toyed with them this week. The Mariners lurk, the Guardians are a pain in the butt, and the Rays have beaten up the Yankees head to head, but the Yankees list of rationalizations for not reaching the World Series would be pretty short if Judge is healthy in October.

The Yankees are showing they wouldn't just be a token team that got lucky to get past a woeful AL field. They can play with the Dodgers, Brewers, Braves and anyone else coming out of the NL.

This is clearly their best chance to win a ring since 2009.