Cowboys vs. Raiders Week 11 Monday Night Football Top Betting Picks, Predictions

The Las Vegas Raiders will host the Dallas Cowboys for Monday Night Football in Week 11. These are two bad teams in the NFL, although Dallas is generally viewed as drastically better. The Raiders enter this game with a 2-7 record, while the Cowboys own a 3-5-1 record thus far.

The key to this game feels like the location. Las Vegas will be major beneficiaries of playing at home this week.

The Raiders have struggled offensively throughout the season. They rank 29th in the NFL in points (.272) per play. That number jumps to .350 at home, though, where they’ve found drastically more success.

Las Vegas has also struggled quite a bit in the red zone this season. They’re converting only 47.8% of their red zone trips to touchdowns, although that number moves to 50% at home. More importantly, they’ve been better in recent weeks, converting 80% of their red zone trips over their last three games.

It’s important to note that Brock Bowers returned two games ago, and that’s one of their key red zone pieces. He’ll continue to be featured, and he makes this team drastically better near the goal line.

The Raiders haven’t been a terrible defense this season, but they also aren’t great. Overall, they’re giving up .387 points per play in 2025. That number dips to .333 at home, though.

Arguably, the most important part of this bet is that Las Vegas has quietly been outstanding with their red zone defense at home. Opponents are converting touchdowns on only 42.9% of their red zone trips in Las Vegas. This ranks fourth in the NFL.

We can also back the Raiders because of how bad the Cowboys have been on the road this season. They’re averaging .106 fewer points per play outside of Dallas.

The Cowboys have also struggled a bit more than you’d expect in the red zone this season. They’re scoring a touchdown on 61.8% of their trips, which ranks 13th in the NFL. That number drops to 52.6% on the road, which is well below average.

Dallas has one of the worst defenses in the NFL in all situations. They are slightly worse on the road, but it isn’t a major difference. Overall, they’re just bad, and they’ve consistently allowed teams to put up points against them.

It’s ugly backing the Raiders at this point in the season, but they should have a major edge with home-field advantage this week.

Where to Bet: Las Vegas Raiders +3.5 spread | -115 at FanDuel Sportsbook

2025 NFL Season Betting Record: 17-25